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<br />GREEN RIVER STUDY PLAN <br /> <br />6 <br /> <br />February 2, 2007 <br /> <br />4. Flaming Gorge Reservoir will not have water of sufficient temperature and quantity to <br />achieve target conditions in Lodore Canyon in all years. Availability will depend on the <br />hydrologic year, season, and climatic conditions. Although warmer water temperatures <br />in Lodore Canyon may be attainable through flow management, target temperatures may <br />not be achieved in wetter years. <br /> <br />5. Uncertainty exists regarding the responses of nonnative warm-water fishes to the flow <br />and temperature recommendations and subsequent competition or predation effects on the <br />endangered fishes. Monitoring the responses of nonnative fishes to the flow <br />recommendations is needed to ensure benefits to the endangered fishes. <br /> <br />6. There is uncertainty associated with base flow recommendations. Base flows that <br />optimize conditions for endangered fishes will likely vary from year to year because of <br />the effect of antecedent conditions on sediment processes and habitat conditions. To <br />incorporate the effects of antecedent conditions, the recommended mean annual base <br />flows are tied to the hydrologic conditions and the magnitude of the spring peak flow. <br /> <br />7. Effects of base-flow variation on backwater quality are unknown. Variability in base <br />flows occurs at various scales including between years, within a year, between days, and <br />within a day. It was assumed that recommended fluctuation restrictions will protect <br />habitat quality and improve growth, conditioning, and survival of endangered fish. <br />However, the effects of within-day fluctuations on habitat conditions warrant further <br />investigation. <br /> <br />The flow and temperature recommendations also identified the need for research and <br />monitoring. In addition to the need to. collect real-time biological and physical data each year to <br />refine how the recommendations are implemented, there is a need to conduct additional research <br />and long-term monitoring of fish responses to address the identified uncertainties (Figure 1). <br />The recommendations suggested that the collection of additional data on endangered fishes and <br />their habitats should focus on the evaluation and possible modification of the recommendations <br />by following an adaptive management process. Research should be conducted by using carefully <br />designed experiments based on hypothesis testing. <br /> <br />The flow and temperature recommendations further recognized the need to assess overall <br />responses by the endangered fish populations. These responses include many aspects of the life <br />histories of these species (e.g., reproduction, survival of young, recruitment to adults, etc.), with <br />establishment and maintenance of self-sustaining populations as the goal of recovery (U.S. Fish <br />and Wildlife Service 2002a, 2002b, 2002c, 2002d). Responses by various life-history aspects to <br />flow and temperature recommendations may be observable over a short time span, but because <br />the endangered fishes are long-lived, population responses (i.e., self-sustainability) may be <br />observable only over longer time spans. Short-term monitoring should focus on responses of <br />specific life history aspects, but long-term monitoring must detect differences in population sizes <br />and sustainability. Flow and temperature recommendations and any revisions should be based <br />on sound scientific information for the current status of populations, sediment resources, and <br />other relevant ecological factors. <br />