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<br />Green River Floodplain Inundation <br /> <br />9 <br /> <br />June 2005 <br /> <br />Valdez and Nelson (2004) used a model developed by Valdez to evaluate the potential for <br />each priority floodplain wetland to entrain drifting larvae. This model is based on the assumption <br />that the number of drifting larvae present in the main channel declines substantially for each <br />river mile downstream of the spawning area. The model results presented by Valdez and Nelson <br />(2004) suggested that the proximity of a particular floodplain habitat to the spawning bar may be <br />important and that only about 1 % of the drifting larvae were expected to remain in the main <br />channel 58 kIn (36 mi) downstream from the spawning bar. On this basis, Valdez and Nelson <br />(2004) speculated that the priority floodplains that are nearest to the spawning bar ate likely to <br />entrain the greatest number of larvae, and, therefore, may be higher priority areas for recovery <br />than are habitats located further downstream. <br /> <br />There is, however, some uncertainty associated with the entrainment model, and the rapid <br />loss of larvae in relationship to distance downstream of the spawning bar may be overestimated. <br />Several pieces of evidence suggest that more larvae are transported further downstream than the <br />model predicts. First, Colorado pikeminnow larvae are produced upstream of the razorback <br />sucker spawning bar, but are known to be transported as far as Ouray in substantial numbers. <br />Second, light-trap capture data for razorback sucker larvae (Muth et al. 1998) suggests that the <br />number of larvae in the Ouray area was at least 50% of that in upstream Escalante (Thunder <br />Ranch) and Jensen areas in some years. Third, Modde (2001) reported captures of wild razorback <br />sucker juveniles in the Old Charley Wash floodplain (Table 2), which is 97 kIn (60 mi) <br />downstream of the razorback sucker spawning bar. The Valdez model predicts that considerably <br />less than 1 % of the larvae produced would be transported that distance. <br />