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<br />1332 <br /> <br />mately 34% less than the expected maximum N of <br />4.55 had all possible mating combinations occurred at <br />each spawn; and third, that the varying number of <br />progeny generated per mating combination further <br />reduced the average Ne per spawn by about 9% (to <br />2.59). Overall, the average Ne per spawn was <br />approximately 43% less than the maximum possible, <br />with nearly 80% of the reduction being due to the <br />number of mating combinations that actually occurred. <br />Because the latter represent the number of mating (dam <br />X sire) combinations irrespective of sex, the observed <br />reduction in Ne per spawn appears to be due primarily <br />to nonspawning dams. Finally, using simulation <br />analysis and TPWD spawning and release records in <br />2003, the average number of spawns from different <br />spawning tanks mixed in a released population was <br />estimated to be 2.84. <br />Spawning and release records at the TPWD MDC <br />indicated that in 2003 a total of 62 release populations, <br />roughly equivalent in size, were stocked into different <br />localities in each of four different bays or estuaries. The <br />number of released populations per bay or estuary <br />ranged from 7 (Aransas Bay) to 27 (upper Laguna <br />Madre) and included offspring from 11 (Aransas Bay) <br />to 18 (upper Laguna Madre) different spawning tanks. <br />Considering the average maximum Ne of 4.55 for each <br />spawn, the estimated maximum average NeR of all <br />released fish per bay of estuary potentially would range <br />from about 50.1 (Aransas Bay) to about 81.9 (upper <br />Laguna Madre). These estimates assume that the <br />contribution of individual spawning tanks and survival <br />probabilities per released population were equivalent. <br />Considering the average Ne per spawning tank of 2.59 <br />when accounting for variation in the number of <br />progeny generated per observed mating combination, <br />the average NeR per bay or estuary would be reduced to <br />approximately 28.5 (Aransas Bay) and 46.6 (upper <br />Laguna Madre). These values of NeR would be <br />underestimates if the contribution of progeny of <br />individual dams, sires, or both tended to equalize over <br />time; the values would be overestimates if the <br />contribution of different spawning tanks and survival <br />probabilities per released population varied. Based on <br />present data, the latter seems more likely than the <br />former. <br />Based on a coalescent approach, Turner et al. (2002) <br />estimated the long-term genetic effective size (Net) of <br />wild red drum populations in each of seven bays or <br />estuaries in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Their <br />estimates ranged from 183 to 517 (average, approxi- <br />mately 263 per bay or estuary). We used the data from <br />the study of Turner et al. (2002) and estimated the <br />contemporaneous variance of the genetic effective size <br />(NeV)' using the temporal method (Nei and Tajima <br /> <br />GOLD ET AL. <br /> <br />1981; Waples 1989) for the same seven bays of <br />estuaries. The estimates of NeV per bay or estuary <br />ranged from 166 to 356 and averaged 272. The range <br />of NeR estimates (from 28.5 to 46.6) per bay or estuary <br />for all fingerlings released from the TPWD MDC in <br />2003 are smaller, on average, than both the Nel and NeV <br />estimates per bay or estuary. Moreover, the estimates <br />of NeR are very likely inflated given that the <br />assumption of equivalent survival probability per <br />released population is probably not met. Briefly, <br />Karlsson et al. (2008) genotyped yearling or older red <br />drum from two "stock-enhanced" bays or estuaries <br />along the Texas coast and unequivocally identified 30 <br />of 321 fish (9.3%) sampled from Aransas Bay as being <br />of hatchery origin. The contribution of brood dams, <br />sires, and dam X sire combinations to the hatchery- <br />assigned fish, however, was nonrandom, as was the <br />distribution of hatchery-assigned and wild fish with <br />respect to sampling localities within each bay. Karlsson <br />et al. (2008) interpreted these results as indicating <br />variation in survival probability among releases, which <br />clearly would result in decreases in total NeR over all <br />releases. The above considerations suggest that a <br />Ryman-Laikre effect could occur in Texas bays or <br />estuaries supplemented with hatchery-reared fish. <br />There are three approaches that might be employed <br />to increase the NeR of TPWD-released fish and <br />decrease the probability of a Ryman-Laikre effect: <br />(1) increase the number of mating combinations per <br />spawn, (2) equalize the number of progeny generated <br />per mating combination, and (3) increase the number of <br />spawns from different spawning tanks in each released <br />population. The first could be accomplished by using <br />two dams and three sires in each spawning tank, given <br />that the proportion of spawning sires appears greater <br />than the proportion of spawning dams. This approach <br />might be problematic, however, as total egg output per <br />spawning tank could be compromised significantly, <br />particularly as far fewer dams than sires appear to <br />participate in individual spawns. The observed spawn- <br />ing activity of dams and sires also raises the question as <br />to whether over a spawning season there are dams (or <br />sires) that contribute few or no progeny to any released <br />population. We are currently studying this issue and, to <br />date, it appears that there are dams (but not sires) in <br />TPWD spawning tanks that contribute negligibly, if at <br />all, over a spawning season. Monitoring and replacing <br />non- or low-contributing dams might be a strategy to at <br />least marginally increase the number of mating <br />combinations per spawn, although this might prove <br />difficult given the need for a "conditioning" period <br />prior to spawning activity. The second approach, <br />equalizing the number of progeny generated per mating <br />combination within a spawning tank, would seem in <br /> <br /> <br />practice difficult to in <br />likely be unprodu( <br />reduction in Ne per s <br />produced per mating <br />(about 9%). <br />The third approach, <br />from different spawni <br />would seem to be the <br />released population w <br />the average Ne per Spi <br />the number of spawn <br />included in the mixtUl <br />five different spawnil <br />single release, the ave <br />fold increase in N eR' Jl <br />17.2) could be achiev, <br />progeny from differeJ <br />released population. E <br />ized mixture as simul <br />increased to 16.1. G <br />number of release pop! <br />in 2003, the maximum <br />(i.e., using a pseudoe <br />from more than 110 to : <br />relative to that estin <br />program and closer to <br />(NeV) and long-term (! <br />Saillant and Gold (un <br />(2002), respectively. <br /> <br /> <br />Ackn, <br /> <br />We gratefully acknO\ <br />provided by personnel, <br />Gamez of the Texas Pi <br />CCNCPL Marine Deve <br />We also thank C. Bradfi( <br />the laboratory, D. Gatli! <br />obtaining tissues, and T. <br />on an early draft of <br />supported by the Texas <br />(award NA16RGlO78), 1 <br />of the Texas Parks ar: <br />Coastal Conservation , <br />Texas Agricultural Exp <br />6703). This paper is num <br />Studies in Marine Fishes <br />Center for Biosystemati( <br />A&M University. <br /> <br />Ref, <br /> <br />Colura, R. L. 1987. Saltwa! <br />48-50 in G. Chamberlai <br />editors. Manual of red <br /> <br />