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employment in the U.S. economy. Labor earnings in the region comprised approximately <br />16.5 percent of the national total for 1989. Finally, gross regional output amounted to <br />approximately 13 percent of the U.S. total. <br />4. Economic Projections Over Time (1989-2020) <br />The growth projections are obtained by applying the regional employment projections of the <br />Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) within the input-output models. The methodology is <br />described in Chapter II-8. For most sectors, the BEA projects employment to decline over <br />the period 2010 through 2020. Some of the decline is likely due to structural changes in the <br />economy, and some is due to shifting regional economic patterns. For the region as a whole, <br />there is a slowing of growth of total output by the end of the study period. I <br /> Table II-2-2. Urbanization in the Colorado River Basin States <br /> Percent of Population in Urban Centers <br /> Year <br />State 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 <br />Arizona 55.5 % 74.5% 79.6% 83.8% 87.5% <br />California 80.7% 86.4% 90.9% 91.3% 92.6% <br />Colorado 62.7% 73.7% 78.5% 80.6% 82.4% <br />New Mexico 50.2% 65.9% 69.8% 72.1% 73.0% <br />Nevada 57.2% 70.4% 80.9% 85.3% 88.3% <br />Utah 65.3% 74.9% 80.4% 84.4% 87.0% <br />Wyoming 49.8% 56.8% 60.5% 62.7% 65.0% <br />Total output is projected to increase in the region by 22 percent from 1989 through 2020. <br />The change in employment over the study period is projected to be a positive 26 percent. <br />The total changes in earnings between 1989 and 2020 is a positive 24 percent. The total <br />changes in indirect business taxes between 1989 and 2020 is projected to be 24 percent. The <br />total changes in personal income taxes between 1989 and 2020 is projected to be 24 percent. <br />11-2-16