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Section 4: The Economic Modeling Framework <br />A. Overview <br />Two types of economic effects are of interest when considering the economic impacts of <br />critical habitat designations: regional economic impacts and national economic efficiency <br />impacts. Regional economic impacts refer to the impact of the proposed critical habitat <br />designations on specific geographic regions, such as States or other sub-regions of the <br />country. Frequently, regional economic impacts effect a transfer of resources from one region <br />to another. For example, if one State in the Basin increases its consumptive use of Colorado <br />River water, another State may have to forego some of its use of Colorado River water. <br />Thus, a positive regional impact to one State can be a negative impact to another, and vice <br />versa. <br />Regional economic impacts in this study were analyzed using input-output models which <br />organize the basic accounting relationships that describe the production sector of the <br />economy. The input-output method starts with the assumption that all sectors of the economy <br />are tied together by virtue of economic relations called linkages, and the production of a good <br />or service can be described by a recipe whose ingredients are the outputs of the other sectors <br />of the economy. The primary inputs are labor, capital, and other raw resources. Through its <br />multiplier analysis, the input-output model is capable of generating estimates of the changes <br />in output for sectors, changes in employment, and changes in income due to species listing <br />and proposed critical habitat designation. The models report the total impacts that result from <br />the interactions among the sectors of the economy. <br />The computable general equilibrium model analyzes resource reallocations (e.g., changes in <br />river flows as represented by increased or decreased hydroelectric generation) in a manner <br />such that the net effects, not just the total effects, are calculated. Given this capability, the <br />CGE is able to estimate net national efficiency impacts at the national level. <br />I-16 <br />