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are projected to grow by $5.2 million, employment is projected to increase by 230 jobs, and <br />government revenues are projected to grow by $2.06 million. For Scenario B2, there would <br />be an increase in output of $0.09 million, an increase in employment of 50 jobs, an increase <br />in earnings of $0.30 million, an increase in government revenues by $0.01 million. As <br />before, Scenarios A2 and B2 provide a set of extremes. <br />If it can be assumed that the adjustments to the national economy represented by these <br />scenazios are permanent, then the present value and annualized values reporting the national <br />economic impacts can be estimated for the study period. Tables I-E-4 and I-E-S present these <br />estimates. For output, the discounted present value (3 percent) ranges from $75.46 million <br />for Scenario A 1 to -$66.89 million for Scenario B 1 (see Table I-E-4). <br />Table I-E-S reports the results for Scenarios A2 and B2. Under Scenario A2 the present <br />value (3 percent) of the output increase is projected to be $94.30 million. Earnings aze <br />projected to increase by $92.90 million and government revenue $36.11 million. <br />Alternatively, for Scenario B2 the growth in ouput, earnings, and government revenues are <br />projected to be $15.78 million, $7.01 million and $11.39 million, respectively. The range of <br />the annualized values (3 percent) for output is from $4.72 million (Scenario A2) to $0.79 <br />million (Scenario B2). If the direct impacts to the recreation sector within the Colorado River <br />Basin region are offset by substitution to other recreational activities outside the region, then <br />the overall national economic impact of the with fish scenario is positive. <br />xi <br />