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Although there is no best overall strategy in negotiations, experience <br />consistently emphasizes the necessity of thorough, diligent preparation by the <br />instream flow negotiator. The pattern of concessions, for instance, is <br />directly affected by the negotiator's knowledge of his opponent's payoffs and <br />requirements, which he should have developed beforehand. A hard initial offer <br />by a negotiator usually results in a more favorable final offer by an opponent <br />who does not have information about the negotiator's payoffs. Small <br />concessions by the opponent also usually result in a more favorable final <br />offer by a negotiator, especially if he does not have information about the <br />opponent's payoffs or is under substantial time pressure (Druckman 1977). <br />Books and articles by experienced negotiators are full of stories about <br />business negotiations in which the unprepared engineer, accountant, lawyer, <br />purchaser or seller is taken to the cleaners, such as the negotiation between <br />Hughes Aircraft and Starmatic for power generating equipment for the first <br />unmanned space vehicle to the moon. Starmatic's bid was $450,000. After one <br />day's negotiating, in which Starmatic was pressed to justify its figures, the <br />contract was signed for $220,000. When the Hughes team arrived at the <br />conference: <br />"We soon learned that the opponent's team was in greater disarray <br />than our own. Their chief engineer was not conversant with the <br />original proposal and felt obliged to apologize for his lack of <br />detailed knowledge. The supplier's contract administrator and <br />controller indicated that they had not reviewed the proposal prior <br />to the conference and asked for a short delay in order to do so. <br />We requested accounting justification for the $450,000 bid and were <br />pleased that the controller lacked this. He left the room and <br />returned almost thirty minutes later with an armful of messy <br />workpapers. <br />We continued to insist upon accounting justification and began to <br />realize that the estimating base was not likely to be found in the <br />books. Starmatic's cost system was no better than that of the rest <br />of the industry. <br />5