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<br />CHAPTER III AFFECTED ENVIRONMENT <br />K. Social Considerations <br />The Basin was the site of high rates of growth in the 1970's due to national <br />energy shortages. Energy development opportunities brought jobs, people, and <br />an increasing demand for water into the area. In 1982, most development and <br />proposed development came to an abrupt halt or was scaled back dramatically. <br />Though the resources remain, changes in the energy market altered the timing <br />and scale of potential developments. The greater supply and lower demand for <br />energy and the scarcity of investment capital tend to constrain project size <br />and lengthen the development period of proposals today. Today, most <br />development proposals are assigned a high degree of uncertainty and viewed ' <br />skeptically. <br />Other changes are evident. Although the job market has been reduced ' <br />drastically, many people who came for jobs have remained due to lifestyle <br />considerations. The infrastructure base built up in the boom years is <br />basically still in place. Housing, education, and other infrastructure <br />facilities are sufficient and, in many areas, greater than demand. Energy- ' <br />related growth has abated, but other factors contribute to the area's growth <br />on a much lower scale. <br />The population and economy of the Upper Basin are now stabilizing. Employment ' <br />and income appear to have bottomed out based on most indicators. Based on <br />demographic and economic patterns evident within the Upper Basin prior to the ' <br />surge in energy development, those factors which contributed to nonenergy- <br />related growth will again assert themselves, and growth will continue at a <br />much lower rate than during the recent boom/bust cycle. Factors outside of <br />the Upper Basin still heavily influence the economy of the area. Since the , <br />energy resource is largely still in place, any drastic change in the <br />availability or price of oil could trigger another energy development surge. <br />Current water utilization within the Upper Basin is directly influenced by ' <br />development and conservation trends. Senior agricultural water rights are in <br />place, but the number of acres being irrigated is slowly declining. In some <br />areas, irrigation water development continues on a small scale. Municipal <br />water appears to be in place for the projected growth in almost all Upper <br />Basin communities. Industrial water demands during the boom were being <br />developed through private projects. While the water rights are still in <br />effect, a demonstrated demand for all of the water is not always present. <br />Water-based recreation still has a high social and economic value, but there <br />are few remaining development and utilization opportunities. As the <br /> <br />increasing population base and commercial development of the recreation ' <br />resource bring in more people to utilize the area, the carrying capacity will <br />be reached and the relative attractiveness of the area for recreational use <br />will decline. Hydropower generation is mostly limited to existing sites with ' <br />few proposals for upgrades or new smaller sites. The manner and degree to <br />which water-based development opportunities can be realized will be <br />conditioned by the need to avoid jeopardy to endangered fishes. Developers <br /> <br />are concerned about the economic feasibility of future project proposals as , <br />well as the potential need to alter projects requiring Federal authorization <br />or funding to comply with Section 7 of the Endangered Species Act to offset <br />project impacts to endangered fishes. <br />III-34 1