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X. Stability Analysis <br />The structures are designed to withstand the forces of the 100-year flood from potential <br />scour, incipient motion and over-turning moment. <br />Scour <br />Undermining, scour or general bed degradation are the most common methods for failure <br />of large structures in an alluvial channel. Typically a large obstruction in the channel <br />causes localized secondary currents that scour the bed from around and under the <br />structure creating a hole that eventually the structure falls into under the force of gravity. <br />Potential scour depths are dependant on the mobility of the channel bed material. Both <br />Bob Sr. and Bob Jr. are to be set on excavated bedrock; furthermore, both structures have <br />exposed bedrock control immediately downstream. The bedrock has minimal scour <br />potential and the downstream control of bedrock would prevent general degradation of <br />the bed. Bob Sr. is set a minimum of 4.0 feet below the downstream bedrock elevation. <br />Bob Jr. is set a minimum of 2.5 feet below the downstream bedrock elevation. Baby Bob <br />is in an armored reach of boulders and cobbles that also has a minimal scour potential. <br />Baby Bob has a footer rock or is keyed into the bed a minimum of 2.0 feet below the <br />downstream scour pool and below the downstream bedrock elevation. Potential for scour <br />failure is minimal for this project and the designed key down of the structures provides a <br />margin of safety. <br />Incipient Motion <br />Individual particles in the channel bed were analyzed for potentially moving in the <br />channel flow. Sediment transport predictions based on a 100-year flood scenario were <br />performed using incipient motion analysis based on Shields' criteria (Gessler, 1971). <br />This analysis was used to evaluate relative bed mobility from channel shear stress and <br />bed material size distributions. The "critical size" is the size of a particle that is predicted <br />to begin moving under the forces at a given flow. The critical size was determined at <br />each of the three structures using the maximum calculated shear stress (at the cross <br />section) as the critical shear stress in the Shield's Equation. A shear stress was evaluated <br />for the 100-year discharge of 5,430 cfs; however, the stresses are most severe at 2,500 cfs <br />at Baby Bob and 1,400 cfs at Bob Jr. Therefore, the maximum stress up to the 100-year <br />flood event was used to calculate the critical particle size. This procedure was then <br />evaluated for bed slopes and channel slopes as well as a factor for secondary cunents as <br />presented by (Fischenich et. al, 2000). A Factor of Safety (FOS) was then calculated for <br />the designed particles (or boulders) at each structure. The FOS calculation shows how <br />much proportionately larger the proposed boulders are than the boulders that would <br />withstand 100-year floor forces. In other words, a FOS of 1.0 means the boulder may <br />mobilize under the flow rate studied; a FOS greater than 1.0 indicates a stable design. <br />The design boulder size at: Baby Bob = 3.0 feet with a FOS of 2.1, at Bob Jr. = 3.5 feet <br />with an FOS 1.6, and at Bob Sr. = 4.0 feet with an FOS of 1.5. The designed particles <br />associated at all three structures are sufficient in size to not mobilize with the 100-year <br />flood stresses. <br />9 of 11