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{,. <br />(1) Little if any, of the water theoretical;ly produced by cutting thousands of acres of trees <br />will eait Forest lands. Troendle 2000, pp. 11 ("As watershed size increases, the changes in <br />flow documented to occur at the point of impact, or on-site, become less detectable.") and 44 <br />("It would seem unlikely that the simulated changes in flow following timer harvest <br />' simulations would be detectable at any streamgage on the North Platte River. Neither is it <br />likely that the simulate3 increases in fl.ow could actually be detected as they exit NFS land, <br />assuming a gauge were present to mor?itor them."} <br />• The water produced would come almost exclusively during?runoff and more in wet than drv <br />years• Id., p. 3("Changes in flow resulting from forest disturbance in the snow zone have <br />always occurred on the rising side of the hydrograph, or early in the runoff season... . In <br />addition, the largest increase in seasorial flows, following timber harvest, occur during the <br />wettest years."). So, not only is there no increase in base flows, but there would be an <br />increase in spring flooding. Neither of these is a desirable outcome. - <br />The strategy rec?uires cutting at teast 2:0% of a watershed's trees. Troendle 2000, p. 16 <br />("Generally, it has been assumed that 20-25 percent of the vegetation on a fully forested <br />small watershed[] has to be harvested in order to generate a detectable response at the <br />streamgage."). and p.17 (describing sl.udies with 40% vegetation removal). Thinning that <br />removes less than 25% of the tree:s in a watershed does not increase water yield, and in at <br />least one instance, selective logging of 40% of a snowrunoff dominated watershed produced <br />no increase in annual yield. Rhocies and Purser 1998, citing Marvin 1996. <br />? Finding the necessary acreage on the existinQ Forests is unlikelv. Troendle 2000, p. 15 <br />("[E]xtensive land areas suitable for ivater yield augmentation are not readily available on <br />National Forest System lands in the inland west."). Most of the studies described in the <br />report-as is true for most of the experiments described throughout the literature-are smaIl <br />demonstration projects of several hundred acres, not landscape level experiments. Given the <br />Forest Service's roadless initiative, finding appropriate blocks of land for 120 consecutive <br />years would seem even less likeiy. <br />• Because western forests are water short overall, much of the water freed by the timber <br />harvest doesn't reach the stream; rattier remainin a? nd replacement vetz,etation use it. <br />Troendle 2000, p. 13 ("In all cases, .... total water use by the remaining vegetation <br />increased."). <br />Forest cutting may potentialiv reduce baseflows and increases in yield are mostly transient. <br />Rhodes & Purser, citing Hetherington, 1982. He reported that a decrease in annual yield and <br />baseflow in some years following a 40% clearcut. Tnterestingly, one study that the new <br />report does not cite for this outcome is a 1985 presentation by Troendle on Deadwood Creek, <br />cited in Rhodes and Purser 1998. While initial statistically significant increases in annual <br />yieid occurred follawing 30-40°ro vegetation removal, the increased flows conelated better <br />with variations in precipitation, and within four years there was no statistically significant <br />increase in yield across the entire wzLtershed. Increases in baseflow are particularly short- <br />tived. Rhodes & Purser 1998, c:iting Everest & Harr 1982.