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data to estimate the baseline water yield. Baseline water yield from each of the four major river <br />basins was then summed to determine the total baseline water yield for the Routt National Forest. <br />.? <br />Spreadsheet Baseline 1(page 11) shows how the weighted mean annual precipitation was <br />determined forthe watershed above each stream gage, the water yield in feet per acre for each <br />stream gage, and the regression model. Spreadsheet Baseline 2(page 12) shows the weighted <br />average annual precipitation for each major river basin, aiid the baseline water yield by river <br />basin. <br />The purpose of estimating the baseline water yield is to provide a framework for interpreting the <br />projected water yield increases for the different alternatives. The baseline water yield does not <br />take into account existing increases in water yield from past timber harvest. The baseline water <br />yield represents an estimate of the quantity of water produced from the Routt National Forest if <br />there was no timber haivest, large scale fires, etc. <br />WATER YIELD INCREASES BY ALTERNATIVE <br />Water yield increases due to timber harvesting were deteimined using the WRENSS model <br />(EPA, 1980). Methods used in this analysis followed those developed by Carl Chambers, <br />hydrologist on the Arap ahoe- Roosevelt National Forest, as described in his draft version <br />"Methods for estimating water yields for Forest Plan, June 4, 1997° (Attachment 1). Data used <br />to calculate baseline water yield as well as water yield increases can be found in the project tile. <br />For the Routt Forest Plan, water yield increases for 'special cuts' were not modeled as these <br />activities do not change the basal area. The effects of aspen harvesting were not considered as <br />this activity is highly variable and is dependant on the demand for aspen which is currendy low. <br />The weighted mean annual precipitation for modeling water yield increases was determined <br />separately for lodgepole and spruce-tir timber types. This was based on the number of acres <br />outside of wilderness areas for each timber type in each precipitation zone. Acres by timber type <br />within wilderness areas were not considered since no harvesting is allowed within wilderness <br />areas. <br />Using the methods developed by C.Chambers, the average water,yield increase was determined <br />for different timber types (lodgepole and spruce-tir) and harvest method by aspect. For two step <br />shelterwood cuts, it was assumed that 55 percent of the basal ai•ea is removed in the seed cut with <br />the remaining 45 percent being removed in the subsequent overstory removal. In three step <br />shelterwood cuts, it was assumed that 25 percent of the basal area was removed in the prep cu[. <br />45 percent removed in the seed cut, and 30 percent removed in the overstory removal. <br />The projected unit water yield increase was incoiporated into the FORPLAN model and tied to <br />the solution. FORPLAN projected acres harvested by timber type and harvest method, then <br />estimated the annual water yield increase based on these acres. <br />Annual water yield increases from past decades were added to the annual water yield increase for <br />the decade in question to determine the total water yield increase. A decline in the water yield <br />? <br />2