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<br />Reservoir Operating Studies <br />1 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />F <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />suite of operating studies sought to establish an "Environmental Baseline" characterization of <br />flows at Maybell for use in preparing a preliminary Biological Assessment for the enlargement <br />project based on previous Section 7 consultation. Later studies moved away from the Juniper- <br />based instream flow decree concept and investigated the efficacy of making storage releases to <br />maintain specific seasonal minimum flow targets at Maybell. <br />The discussion below provides a background description of the basin model used in these <br />studies and then presents an overview of the earlier operating studies. This chapter concludes <br />with a thorough description of the final operating studies reflecting storage releases to meet <br />proposed Maybell flow targets. Details of certain of these studies are contained in Appendices <br />to this report. <br />YAMPA RIVER BASIN MODEL <br />Background <br />As part of the Yampa River Basin Alternatives Feasibility Study ("predecessor study"), <br />Hydrosphere developed a hydrologic and water rights computer model of the Yampa River <br />basin in order to quantitatively evaluate the operation of existing reservoirs and the utility of <br />constructing new reservoirs at several potential sites in the basin. The computer model <br />represents the hydrology, water demands, water rights administration, and reservoir operations <br />in the basin on a monthly basis using a 53-year hydrologic study period encompassing water <br />years 1930 through 1982. This is the same study period used in previous modeling efforts of <br />the basin carried out by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). This study period <br />includes a wide range of hydrologic conditions, from drought years to flood years, and permits <br />an assessment of the long-term effects of changes in water development and management. <br />The Yampa River basin model represents inflows, river reaches, diversions, and <br />reservoirs of the basin as a network of arcs and nodes. The model accepts inflows, simulates <br />the allocation of these flows among water rights and uses in the basin, and predicts the resulting <br />streamflow conditions in reaches of interest. The mathematical solution of the network insures <br />that water is allocated in accordance with water right priorities, that these allocations are <br />always within the physical and institutional constraints (e.g., decree limits, diversion capacities) <br />specified by the model user, and that mass balance is preserved throughout the system. <br />Hydrology <br />' Model inflows represent either virgin inflows or net monthly reach gains (or, in some <br />cases, depletions) in various reaches of the Yampa River system. In the headwaters areas, <br />inflows generally represent virgin flows. Lower down in the basin they represent net reach <br />gains or losses computed by mass balance techniques from gage flow records. A regional <br />hydrologic analysis was conducted based on records from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) <br />streamflow gages and on previous estimates of water yields at various points in the basin <br />(Morrison-Knudson, 1987; Tipton and Kalmbach, 1980). This approach utilized existing <br />stream flow data to derive physical water yield models (regression equations) which accepted <br />tributary area, average elevation, and aspect as independent variables. <br /> <br />2-2