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n <br />Executive Summary <br />that water is allocated to network arcs in accordance with user supplied priorities, that these <br />allocations are always within user-supplied constraints reflecting decree limits, physical <br />diversion capacities, and available water supply, and that mass balance is preserved throughout <br />the system. <br />' Modeled inflows represent virgin inflow or net monthly reach gains (or, in some cases, <br /> depletions) in various reaches of the Yampa River system. In the headwaters areas, inflows <br /> generally represent virgin flows. Lower down in the basin they represent net reach gains or <br /> losses computed by mass balance techniques from gage flow records. A regional hydrologic <br /> analysis was conducted based on records from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamflow <br /> gages and on estimates from previous studies of water yields at various points in the basin <br /> (Morrison-Knudson, 1987; Tipton and Kalmbach, 1980). This approach utilized existing <br />d <br /> stream flow data to derive physical water yield models (regression equations) which accepte <br /> tributary area, average elevation, and aspect as independent variables. <br /> Existing basin water uses are generally represented implicitly in the model through the <br /> use of gaged flow hydrology rather than virgin flow hydrology. Implicit in this method is the <br /> assumption that historical and current water use patterns continue in the future as they have in <br /> the past, unaffected by any additional water development represented explicitly in the basin <br /> model. Future demands, as well as certain demand adjustments, are represented in the model <br /> as demand increments, i.e., only the differences between current demands and future demands <br /> are defined in the model. To the degree possible, demands were placed in the model network <br /> where they occur, or will most likely occur in the future. <br /> The water rights of the various demands are represented in the model only in terms of <br /> their priorities relative to each other and relative to the Juniper Project right. Generally <br /> speaking, existing uses are considered senior to the Juniper rights while future uses, both 2015 <br /> and 2040 level, are considered junior to the Juniper rights. There are two exceptions to this <br /> general rule: 1) certain existing agricultural uses are modeled as having rights junior to the <br />' Juniper project, and 2) the Hayden generating station has sufficient rights senior to the Juniper <br /> Project to serve its projected long-term demand. In model scenarios representing an instream <br /> flow right for the endangered fish, this right was assigned a priority equal to the Juniper <br /> Project right. <br /> Reservoir Operations <br /> <br /> Three existing reservoirs were operated in the Yampa River Basin Model: Stagecoach <br /> Reservoir, Steamboat Lake, and Elkhead Reservoir. The operations of all other existing <br /> reservoirs (most of which are located in headwaters areas) were assumed to have negligible <br />' effect on flows below Stagecoach Reservoir either because of their small size or because of <br /> their mode of operation. The model network was configured to represent nine reservoirs in <br /> all. Six of these reservoirs are currently undeveloped and were effectively "turned off" in the <br />' model runs except in scenarios in which they were specifically being evaluated. The inactive <br /> reservoirs were all included in the model to allow them to easily be operated should their <br /> development be considered at a future time. <br />i Reservoir evaporation and storage carryover are automated in the model. Storage and <br /> release operations are driven by the relative priorities between reservoirs and demands. <br /> Reservoirs in the model were allowed to store an amount of water equal to their physical <br />capacity one time each water year; carryover storage in reservoirs was not counted against the <br /> reservoirs' annual fill limit. In terms of strict water rights administration this implies that each <br /> modeled reservoir had a refill decree of sufficient size to support storage limited only by <br />' available capacity and inflow. <br /> <br /> S-17