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Gunnison River /Aspinall Unit Temperature Analysis -Phase I <br />Executive Summary, Page-B <br />institutional constraints would severely limit the effectiveness of a flow-based <br />temperature management approach. <br />Data Collection. An extensive data collection program was completed during the <br />summer of 2001. Much of the data required to conduct model development and <br />calibration during phase II of the project were obtained. These data include <br />meteorological, hydrological, and water temperature time series data, as well as <br />physiographic and engineering data pertaining to reservoirs, dams, and river reaches.. <br />Based on a review of the data, no additional field work was conducted during 2001. We <br />did however recommend to George Smith of the FWS that temperature recording devices <br />be placed at least temporarily near the mouths of the Uncompahgre and North Fork of the <br />Gunnison Rivers to provide additional baseline-data on tributary inflow temperatures. <br />Additionally, one or more temperature recording devices on the mainstem of the <br />Gunnison and certain major tributaries above Blue Mesa Reservoir (e.g., Lake Fork, <br />Cebolla, Willow, etc.) would be useful for development and calibration of a Blue Mesa <br />temperature model. <br />Data Analysis. The primary objective of phase I of this project was to determine whether <br />or not modifications to the Aspinall Unit could result in warmer water temperatures <br />downstream near Delta. Before undertaking a substantial model development program, <br />the Recovery Program asked that we undertake,a preliminary analysis of the data with the <br />purpose of 1) providing a preliminary analysis. of whether or not increased water <br />temperatures are possible with reservoir modifications, and 2) what type(s) of modeling <br />approach is most appropriate given the nature of the Gunnison system. Our scope for <br />phase I was limited to some straightforward processing of data for visualization and <br />preliminary statistical analyses. Nevertheless, the following conclusions can be drawn: <br />1. Stream temperatures near Delta are significantly impacted by Aspinall operations, <br />and do not return to ambient conditions until somewhere downstream of Delta. <br />2. Blue Mesa Reservoir is the primary cause of cold-water releases from the Aspinall <br />Unit. Crystal releases are warmer than those of Blue Mesa, indicating that Morrow <br />Point and Crystal actually warm the river relative to Blue Mesa release temperatures. <br />3. Warmer water is physically available in Blue Mesa, and could be released . <br />downstream with a TCD. Models of all three reservoirs would be useful in <br />determining the impacts of such a structure on the thermal regimes of the reservoirs. <br />4. Tributary inflows do impact stream temperatures at Delta, but not with a frequency or <br />magnitude to render potential reservoir control ineffective. <br />5. Warmer releases from Crystal would result in warmer river temperatures at Delta. <br />Generally, release temperatures from Crystal would need to be increased about 3 °C <br />to warm the river at Delta by 2 °C. <br />6. Stream temperatures at Delta show a strong statistical correlation to release <br />temperatures and atmospheric conditions; thus, a statistical model could potentially <br />be used in lieu of a more costly physically-based model of the river. <br />Hydrosphere Resource Consultants <br />