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field conditions when water temperatures depart far from 20°C (Marsh, 1985; Kaeding and <br />Osmundson, 1990). If estimates of climate during full glacial in the lower Colorado basin vs. <br />the Colorado Plateau are correct (Betancourt, 1990; van Devender, 1940), such thermal <br />problems would have existed upstream but not downstream. Self-sustaining populations of <br />razorback suckers would have therefore been excluded from much of the upper mainstem <br />Colorado and Green rivers and their west-flowing tributaries during this time period, while <br />those downstream enjoyed aloes-altitude, low-latitude thermal refugium (van Devender, <br />1990). Due to recency of establishment (<10 Ka), upper basin populations would be expected <br />to exhibit levels of within and among population diversity too low to produce observed <br />downstream diversity. <br />Consideration of climatic conditions described above also leads to an alternative <br />hypothesis where populations of the lower basin (i.e., Lake Mohave and the Gila River) may <br />have been a stable "source" of colonizers continually invading the upper basin following <br />thermal amelioration (Figure 3). The observed clinal reduction in diversity could result from <br />recent serial bottlenecks as razorbacks colonized further upstream after the last glacial <br />advance. If the system has not achieved equilibrium, upstream populations would exhibit <br />only a subset of variation found in their downstream source, with the most common <br />haplotype(s) likely to become more common as one moves upstream. Given adequate time, <br />continuing dispersal up- and downstream would homogenize populations, resulting in an <br />equilibrium where all populations exhibit similar levels of variation and sets of haplotypes. <br />Even if the system has achieved equilibrium, however, the observed cline in diversity <br />could be generated by a concordant cline in population size also decreasing upstream. Given <br />our knowledge of the biology of "big-river" fishes, such a cline might be expected. These <br />species are seriously impacted by cold water, as indicated by their failure to reprQtiuce and <br />13 <br />