9388

• UCREFRP Catalog Number: 9388
• Author: Maddux, H. R., W. R. Noonan and L. A. Fitzpatrick.
• Title: Overview of the Proposed Critical Habitat Designation for the Four Colorado River Endangered Fishes.
• USFW Year: 1993.
• USFW - Doc Type: Salt Lake City.
• Copyright Material: NO

Table 8. Direct Economic Impacts (1982$ Millions)
(Critical Habitat Only)
Year
Sector 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Colorado River Basin
Livestock Feed -0.318 -0.777 -1.542 -1.871 -2.535 -3.317
Other Crops 0.551 . 1.558 3.724 5.041 7.440 9.887
Recreation -0.143 -0.372 -0.409 -0.435 -0.461 -0.487
Electric Power -0.388 -0.412 -0.859 -0.490 -1.015 -0.046
Non-petroleum Mining 0.236 0.339 0.478 0.369 0.594 0.390
Oil and Gas Mining 0.158 0.115 0.364 0.263 0.847 0.176
Construction 0.623 0.635 0.667 0.667 0.667 0.667
Combined Manufacturing 0.623 0.635 0.667 0.667 0.667 0.667
TOTAL DIRECT IMPACI'S 1.342 1.721 3.090 4.211 6.204 7.937

The procedures for determining the incremental impacts due to the proposed critical habitat
designation were as follows. The adjusted direct economic impacts (due to listing only) were
input into the model stages. The models were run. The data yielded direct and indirect
economic impacts due to listing only. These results were then netted from the total (listing
plus proposed critical habitat) regional direct and indirect impacts, and the net national
impacts. This process yielded the. incremental impacts associated with the proposed critical
habitat designation.

STATE- AND REGIONAL-LEVEL ECONOMIC IMPACTS

The results are organized by the major aggregate measures developed for the models used in
the analysis in this report: output, earnings, government revenues, and employment.

Output

Table 9 presents the State- and regional-level output impacts by State as well as for the entire
Basin. The data reported in the table are the discounted present values of the stream of
incremental output impacts associated with the proposed critical habitat designation.2

Table 9 illustrates the first conclusion that can be drawn, For the Colorado River Basin as a
whole, the overall impacts are clearly positive. The stream of impacts over the study period
(discounted at 3 percent to yield a present value) yields a positive impact of $167.20 million
for the Basin.

~he worth of a future stream of impacts expressed in terms of todays value.

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