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system with various numbers of data points, was determined from <br />data obtained from 11 streams. Rating curves for each stream were <br />obtained from U.S. Geological Survey gaging stations. These curves <br />served not only as potential data sources, but were also used to define <br />the measured stage for a given discharge. <br />In the case of Manning's equation, one stage-discharge point was <br />taken from a rating curve and used to calibrate the equation. Predic- <br />tions of the stage at different discharges were then compared to the <br />measured value at each of the other discharges on the rating curve. <br />Then another point was taken from the rating curve, the equation re- <br />calibrated, and the process repeated. A similar technique was used in <br />testing the direct determination approach, first using two points, then <br />three, four, and so on. By selecting different points and combinations <br />of points, it was possible to make several thousand comparisons between <br />predicted and measured stages at different discharges over a wide range <br />of hydrologic conditions. <br />. For each stage-discharge prediction, the absolute value of the <br />error was determined by: <br />Error M = IQm - D? X 100% C18) <br />Qm <br />where, <br />Q = the measured discharge of the section <br />Qp = the predicted discharge of the section <br />For each river, and for each approach used, the mean error was <br />calculated as the arithmetic average of the absolute errors for each <br />trial. Table 1 shows the mean error of the stage-discharge predictions, <br />using all combinations and permutations of data points and no limits to <br />the range of extrapolations made from measured calibration flows. Table <br />2 shows the mean error of the stage-discharge predictions, with the <br />following limitations placed on selection of data pairs and range of <br />extrapolations: <br />1. When Manning's equation was used, the range of extrapolations <br />was limited to a minimum flow of 40% of the calibration flow; <br />to a maximum flow of 250% of the calibration flow. <br />2. If a two-point rating curve were used: <br />a. The second point in the rating curve must be outside the <br />range of 0.8 times the first flow to 1.25 times the first <br />flow. <br />b. The slope of the regression line, Q = a(S - ZF)b, must be <br />between 1.4 and 4.0. If the slope of the regression line <br />was outside this range, a third point was added by <br />estimating the point of zero flow. <br />32