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Ideally, we would prefer to have definitive information for preparing hatchery production <br />schedules--creel census data estimating angler use and demand (by water "category") and <br />measures of angler "satisfaction," all with reasonable statistical confidence limits. Satisfaction is <br />some measure of the difference between what an angler ex cte from a fishing experience and <br />what was actually experienced. Even the Colorado State Auditor's report (1995) concluded that <br />stocking levels should be set using comprehensive empirical data. In reality, DOW data is lacking <br />in some areas, so we have been forced to use some estimates and assumptions in making hatchery <br />production decisions. <br />Deloitte & Touche (1995), Johnson et al. (1995), and others make explicit disclaimers that <br />the information and assumptions forming the basis of their analyses came from DOW personnel. <br />The credibility of any assessment we might undertake depends on solid information from the <br />referenced sources. It is therefore unfortunate to encounter discrepancies involving the DOW <br />over very basic issues. For example, while Deloitte & Touche (1995) state that, "... production <br />shortfalls will decrease angler opportunity." Others, including Johnson et al. (1995), from an <br />economic perspective, conclude that the DOW is stocking too many fish in some locales. The <br />comments made by Deloitte & Touche (1995) are probably based on input they received from <br />DOW employees (according to their disclaimer). It would be instructive to examine the <br />assumptions and information provided by the DOW and to learn the basis for them. <br />While some would contend that recreational angling can always be improved, and that the <br />ultimate strategy is to maximize DOW's hatchery production and stock them into the state's <br />waters (Standage Market Research 1994), others are not convinced. This approach overlooks the <br />fact that we do not have enough information to estimate demand accurately and, therefore, <br />production. Historically, hatchery production has responded to requests from biologists for fry, <br />fingerling, and subcatchable fish that were based on a given water's productivity and meeting <br />perceived angler demand. Catchable trout production, on the other hand, has been driven by a <br />desire to maximize the productivity and efficiency of the remaining hatchery system potential. <br />What we would prefer is an objective decision-making process founded on empirical data and <br />robust estimates of other key variables. Until the DOW has confidence in data describing anglers' <br />demand and willingness to pay (by water category), and some insight into what comprises angler <br />satisfaction and preference, we will not be able to manage our hatcheries proactively. An updated <br />study similar to Bergersen et al. (1982) should be designed to address these parameters, and to <br />help us understand the factors contributing to angler satisfaction, which is vital for efficient <br />fisheries management. After that point, we would be able to more accurately predict the effects <br />of varying stocking rates. We could also design a program that balances the demands of our <br />diverse constituents with other DOW management objectives, and to adjust hatchery production <br />accordingly. We need more information to guide good decisions. <br />It is important to reemphasize that there are several key variables involved in DOW's fishery <br />management programs and our hatchery production system. They are 1) demand, which is <br />characterized by what people want, and how much money they are willing to pay for that <br />experience/opportunity; 2) angler satisfaction and its attendant elements (how important is each <br />33