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acquisition of the Kemp/Breeze SWA, which included approximately 2.1 miles of Gold Medal <br />trout water on the Colorado River, at an approximate cost of $2 million in 1993. <br />V. DEMAND <br />Background <br />The term "demand" is used, and commonly misused, by the public and fishery professionals <br />alike. It has meant "projected use" of the resource, the quantity of fish needed to maintain some <br />level of angling success (e.g., catch-per-hour), and likewise the quantity of fish necessary to <br />maintain or improve angler satisfaction. In this document, demand will have an economic slant <br />that embodies two characteristics: 1) the desire for a commodity an 2) the ability or willingness <br />to pay for it. <br />In the past, "projected use" was derived by plotting historic trends in human population <br />growth and license sales on the same graph, and then extrapolating into the future using <br />population predictions. This "projected use" was then linked to fish production through the <br />Angler Survey, which showed that the average angler caught "x" fish per day. Production goals <br />were then obtained by multiplying "projected use" by "x" fish/day. This method proved <br />unreliable--our own research showed that fishing participation, rather than increasing as a function <br />of population growth, could actually decline. We also learned that there are several variables, <br />besides the number of fish stocked, that affect catch rate. <br />Later, the DOW's Categorization System was promoted as a way to better understand the <br />variables contributing to angler "demand," and, therefore, was seen as a useful tool in setting fish <br />stocking levels. "According to information obtained from the DOW and other sources, two main <br />tasks must be completed to ensure stocking levels and hatchery productions are appropriate ... <br />categorizing the waters managed ... [with] the Division's Fisheries Management Categorization <br />Model and performing underlying data collection to identify and gauge supply and demand." <br />(Colorado State Auditor 1995). While the Categorization System does a good job in <br />characterizing the state's waters (by size, elevation and use levels), it has limitations. The primary <br />limitation is that it reflects the su_nnly of hatchery fish rather than the demand for those fish. <br />Demand for hatchery production also includes nonrecreational uses. Uses of fish <br />maintained in our hatchery system include domestic brood stocks, special strains for research <br />programs, information and education programs, trading/bartering with other states and <br />producers, and threatened, endangered, or special concern species recovery programs. Though <br />the quantity of fish requested of our hatchery system for these nonrecreational purposes might <br />seem relatively insignificant, providing fish for these purposes often ties up substantial space and <br />human resources. Rearing these small lots of fish often takes as much hatchery space as raising a <br />large cohort. <br />29