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<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />1 <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />of a simulation, data that described the numbers, size distribution, and growth rate distributions <br />of survivors and mortalities were output for further analysis. <br />Simulation Results <br />We implemented the IBM under several different sets of conditions to evaluate the <br />relative effects of red shiner predation on survival and TL of squawfish cohorts at the end of the <br />growing season, as a function of thermal regime, arrival time, larval growth rate, and predator <br />density. For most simulations we assumed conditions of turbid water with alternate prey present, <br />because we expected these conditions to be fairly typical for backwater nursery habitats. Unless <br />specified otherwise, we used a moderate mean baseline growth rate of 0.3 mm/d for the larvae, <br />and a moderate red shiner density of 3 predators/mZ. Results reported below each represent the <br />mean of three replicate simulations started with different random number seeds. <br />An additional simulation was added in the final stages of report preparation at the request <br />of a funding sponsor (E. Wick). This simulation compared survival and growth of a cohort of <br />Colorado squawfish in the middle and lower Green River where water temperatures, arrival date <br />of Colorado squawfish larvae, and timing of availability of alternative prey may differ. These <br />results are reported in Appendix I. <br />Effects of Thermal Regime and Colonization Date <br />To examine the effects of thermal regime and the timing of backwater colonization <br /> <br />(arrival) by larvae, we simulated six scenarios using warm and cool temperatures with early, <br />18 <br />