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<br />and biological factors at intra-annual and annual time scales. Distributions of hatching <br />dates in 1991 and 1992 indicated that larvae in cohorts that hatched early survived poorly <br />to fall. Growth rate comparisons suggested that the few early hatched fish that survived <br />were afast-growing subset of the fish present in the same cohort in summer. I attributed <br />this to size-selective predation mortality by introduced fishes. Larvae most likely to <br />survive to fall were hatched late and grew relatively slowly. Slow growth rates and high <br />survival that are incongruous with patterns for early-hatched larvae were probably due to <br />environmental factors and to natural mortality of large predaceous red shiners Cyprinella <br />lutrensis in mid- to late-summer. An independent individual-based computer simulation <br />model which had agape-limited red shiners as predators and Colorado squawfish larvae <br />as prey produced similar size-selective patterns. Results of model simulations also <br />suggested that fish with moderate growth rates were more than twice as likely to survive <br />as fish with low-growth rates, underscoring the biological significance of growth. <br />Alternative hypotheses to explain recruitment patterns such as starvation and competition <br />were not proximate explanations for the size-selective patterns observed. A physical <br />process, stochastic flooding reduced growth rates of Colorado squawfish and combined <br />with size-selective predation to cause very low recruitment in the lower Green River in <br />1992. Otherwise, recruitment was unaffected by discharge and temperature regimes in <br />the summers of 1991 and 1992. Linear plateau regression models predicted no negative <br />effect of mean July-August discharge level on annual abundance of Colorado squawfish <br />juveniles except at relatively high discharge. Low abundance of juvenile Colorado <br />squawfish in 1991 'and 1992 when size-selective patterns were evident suggested that <br />predation may regulate recruitment in some years. <br />vi <br />