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25 <br />as the average annual depletion for the years 1984 through 1987 in order to <br />provide a historic depletion figure which is more representative of the more <br />recent historic water use. The new depletion is defined as the average annual <br />depletion beyond the historic depletion calculated to occur in each year from <br />1988 through 2045. The historic and new depletions are each described in two <br />ways, as an overall depletion to the basin and as a depletion to the 15-mile <br />reach. <br />Quantification of depletion impacts have focused on the 15-mile reach for four <br />reasons. First, the Service considers the 15-mile reach to be especially <br />important habitat for the Colorado squawfish and razorback sucker. Second, <br />the Service has developed flow recommendations for the 15-mile reach against <br />which reductions of current flows can be compared. Third, the 15-mile reach <br />has the least flow of the four subreaches because it is located upstream of <br />the Gunnison River confluence and immediately downstream of the large <br />diversions at and above Palisade; consequently, a reduction in flow will <br />impact the 15-mile reach to a greater degree than the other reaches. Fourth, <br />almost any reasonable and prudent alternative which offsets depletion impacts <br />to the 15-mile reach will necessarily offset depletion impacts to the other <br />reaches. <br />To determine the effects of the Project on water quantity and alteration of <br />the hydrologic regime, an analysis of flow changes was conducted. This <br />analysis compared the post-Project conditions to the pre-Project section 7 <br />baseline. These levels of development were simulated for the 1975 to 1993 <br />period of record. Flows and flow reductions were calculated as monthly <br />averages for each month of each year of the 19-year period of record. <br />Each year of the 19-year period of record was classified according to the <br />Service's Flow Group classification as a 25, 50, 80, or 100 percent exceedance <br />flow frequency. For each year, the average monthly post-Project flows at the <br />top of the 15-mile reach were compared to the Service's flow recommendations <br />for that year's Flow Group to determine "make-up flows". Make-up flows were <br />calculated as the Project's reductions of baseline flows below the Service's <br />recommended flows. For a month in which the baseline flow is below the <br />Service's recommended flow, the make-up flow is equivalent to the Project's <br />flow reduction for that month. For a month in which the baseline flow is <br />above the Service's recommended flow and the post-Project flow is below the <br />Service's recommended flow, the make-up flow is the difference between the <br />Service's recommended flow and the post-Project flow. For a month in which <br />the post-Project flow is above the Service's recommended flow, the make-up <br />flow is zero. <br />The overall depletion to the basin, which is equivalent to the Persigo-Lake <br />Powell reach flow reduction, was calculated as the difference between the <br />Project's diversions and estimated return flows taking into account <br />replacement reservoir releases. <br />In the hydrologic analysis for the Project, the current level of depletion is <br />not completely represented in the baseline for all years of the period of <br />record. The baseline flows were calculated using the historic gage flows and <br />subtracting depletions resulting from pF~jects which have received successful <br />