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LOOKING BACK OVER THE FIRST <br />FIFTEEN YEARS <br />by <br />MICHAEL J . BEAN <br />ON APRIL 29, 1988, a California condor hatched in the San <br />Diego Wild Animal Park. This event, the first such hatching ever <br />to result from condors mated in captivity, was widely hailed as a <br />dramatic breakthrough in the decades-long struggle to prevent <br />the extinction of this largest of North American birds. That <br />success followed by only a few months the birth in Wyoming of <br />the first litter of black-footed ferrets to survive more than a few <br />days after being born in captivity. Amidst the celebration of <br />these conservation milestones, it may be forgiven if a few people <br />temporarily forgot that years of virtually unparalleled effort <br />and expense to preserve wild populations of these two species <br />had already ended in failure. Captive propagation, once in- <br />tended as a tool to supplement other conservation efforts, now <br />represents the only hope for these species. <br />The examples of the condor and ferret underscore the diffi- <br />culty in assessing the results of the Endangered Species Act. Are <br />they success stories or are they failures? Unsatisfying as the <br />answer may be, they are not yet either. Rather, they are still <br />unfinished stories. That they are packed with suspense and trag- <br />edy is already apparent; whether their endings will be happy or <br />sad cannot be foretold. The same can well be said of the Endan- <br />gered Species Act itself. <br />When the act was passed by Congress and signed into law by <br />37 <br />