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COLORADO RIVER COMPACT WATER DEVELOPMENT PROJECTION <br />November 2, 1995 FINAL REPORT <br />Page 13 <br />which includes the maximum amount ever diverted in a single yeaz by transmountain <br />diversion projects, and updated values of municipal and industrial consumption prepared by <br />the LT.S. Geological Survey for 1985 was also computed; this value is approximately 2.6 <br />MAF. <br />In this context, Table 3b shows that Colorado has approximately 450,000 acre feet of <br />its apportionment left to develop through full use of existing (but under-utilized} projects and <br />the construction of new projects to reach the 3.079 MAF level of compact development. If <br />Colorado chooses to develop more than 3.079 MAF of consumptive use, the risk of <br />curtailment and associated socioeconomic disruption in the event of a future "compact <br />call" increases. However, because of the uncertainty associated with Colorado's ultimate <br />compact apportionment, the Workgroup felt the target for the upper limit of Colorado's <br />consumptive use should still be 3.855 MAF. Endangered fish recovery instream flow <br />protection by the CWCB should be done in a fashion which allows for the potential <br />development of a fu113.855 MAF. <br />VI. ALTERNATIVES CONSIDERED FOR DISTRIBUTING COLORADO'S <br />REMAINING COMPACT APPORTIONMENT AMONG -THE MAJOR <br />SUBBASINS IN COLORADO <br />In the course of our deliberations, a variety of alternative scenarios for "allocating" <br />Colorado's unused apportionment among the subbasins were considered. We have not been <br />asked, or authorized, to make a legal or policy determination of who would be entitled to the <br />water or how a potential compact call might be administered. Rather, we have attempted to <br />estimate the overall pattern of future water development by basin which might occur. <br />The following is a summary of our overall thought process. The alternatives reviewed <br />aze adequately reflected in the summaries of our meetings, and will not be explained in detail <br />here in order to keep this document to a readable length. Many alternatives were considered, <br />and approximately ten were evaluated in some detail. <br />The development of alternatives began with a brief review of the CWCB staff work in <br />November 1991, in which the suggested approach was to distribute the remaining compact <br />apportionment based on the potential development of conditional water rights in priority. It <br />was noted that there was approximately 3.9 MAF of decreed absolute storage on the western <br />slope of Colorado and about 4 times that amount in conditional storage decrees, which is <br />easily enough to exhaust the natural water supply. It was also noted that conditional water <br />rights do not necessazily represent actual demands. These factors created a lazge amount of <br />uncertainty about the development of conditional water rights and which ones would or would <br />not be developed, thus, the approach was abandoned. <br />The next set of alternatives considered different ways of distributing the remaining <br />compact apportionment in a logical fashion, such as based on the fraction of natural flow <br />originating in a given basin, or allowing all remaining apportionment to be developed in any <br />basin. Although these approaches might be more equitable, they might not be realistic and <br />they were not pursued after initial evaluations. <br />