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Modde et al. <br />Flaming <br />Gorge <br />Reservoir <br />Wyoming <br />Colorado <br />Utah <br />WYOMING <br />UTAH ~,..~, COLORADO <br />River <br />Duchesne ~1 ~ ~mC <br />River t <br />White River <br />Yampa River spawning site `35 Kilometers <br />Escalante (Jensen) spawning site <br />Figure 1. Map of upper Colorado River basin indicat- <br />ing two documented spawning sites of the razorback <br />sucker, Xyrauchen texanus. <br />yet juvenile (Gutermuth et al. 1995) and subadult (U.S. <br />Fish and Wildlife Service, unpublished data) razorback <br />suckers have recently been collected in the upper Colo- <br />rado River Basin. Larvae suspected to be razorback <br />sucker have been collected below the Escalante site by <br />Tyus (1987) in 1986, and confirmed collections were <br />made in 1992, 1993, and 1994 (Robert Muth, personal <br />communication). The previous inability to fmd juvenile <br />razorback sucker in the Green River has been cited as <br />evidence that recruitment is lacking (Wick et al. 1982). <br />Similarly, despite successful reproduction in reservoirs <br />of the lower Colorado River Basin (Mueller 1989), juve- <br />nile razorback sucker have rarely been collected. Lack of <br />survival through the early life stages has been attributed <br />to low food availability, transport from the system, and <br />predation (Hinckley et al. 1991). <br />Although it has been 31 years since the closure of <br />Flaming Gorge Dam, razorback sucker adults are com- <br />monly collected at spawning sites in the middle Green <br />River. In the upper Colorado River sub-basin, the razor- <br />back sucker has declined rapidly and is now rarely col- <br />lected (Modde et al. 1995). Because a razorback sucker <br />Status of Razorback Sucker 111 <br />may live 30 to 40 years (Hinckley 1983), -the ability of <br />the middle Green River population to persist is in ques- <br />tion. We examined 13 years of capture data and evalu- <br />ated the status of growth, survival and factors affecting <br />recruitment of the razorback sucker in the middle Green <br />River population. <br />Methods <br />We analyzed all razorback sucker capture data collected <br />between 1975 and 1992 in the Green River by the U.S. <br />Fish and Wildlife Service, Colorado River Fish Project <br />(CRFP). These data are inclusive of and additive to data <br />reported by Tyus (1987), Lanigan and Tyus (1989), and <br />Tyus and Karp (1990). Fish were collected by elec- <br />troshocking primarily in the spring months of April <br />through June at sites fish have been known to aggregate <br />between the spawning and post-spawning periods. All <br />fish captured were marked with either dorsally attached <br />Carlin tags (1975-1989) or internally inserted passive in- <br />tegrated transponder [PIT] tags (1990-1992). <br />Length Distribution, Growth, and Survival <br />Length-frequency data were grouped into 3-year inter- <br />vals, with the last group including the last four years of <br />the study period. Individual growth rates were esti- <br />mated by dividing the difference in the total length at <br />first and last capture of an individual by the number of <br />days between the two events. Mean growth of fish per <br />year was determined by multiplying the average daily <br />growth by 365 days. Testing for a trend in mean length <br />of fish per year was done using the weighted least- <br />squares linear regression model (SAS 1987). Because <br />spawning and post-spawning aggregation areas were re- <br />peatedly sampled, fish captured on multiple dates were <br />not considered recaptures unless they were collected at <br />least two months after the previous capture. <br />We used Cormack Jolly-Seber (CJS) models (Lebreton <br />et al. 1992) to estimate survival rates from capture-recap- <br />ture data. The program RELEASE was used to compute <br />goodness of fit (Burnham et al. 1987) of the basic, time- <br />specific CJS model. The program SURGE (Lebreton et al. <br />1992) was then used to fmd the best model of a set of <br />four models reasonable to consider. Analysis methods, <br />including information-theoretic model selection (AIC, <br />Akaike 1973), and the specifics of the models used <br />herein are discussed in Lebreton et al. (1992), Burnham <br />and Anderson (1992), and Anderson et al. (1994). <br />The CJS models are based on capture probability (p) <br />and apparent annual survival probability (v~). In general, <br />~ = S(F)(1 - L ), where F (fidelity) is the probability <br />that a fish returns (on an annual basis) to the river reach <br />being sampled and L is annual probability of tag loss. If <br />fidelity is 1, then only tag loss biases annual survival rate <br />Conservation Biology <br />Volume 10, No. 1, February 1996 <br />