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(Smaller, Sunderland, %LA,, 1980), pp. 95-118. <br />41. D. H. lanai. in Consenatsan Biology, the Science or Scarcity and atersmy, Al. E. <br />Soule, Ed. (Smaller, Sunderland, MA, 1986), pp. 286-303. <br />42. E. G. Leigh, Jr., A. S. Rand. D. Al. Windsor, Eds., The Ecology ofa Tropical Forest: <br />Seasonal Rhythms and Long-Term Changes (Strudnsoruan Institution Press, Washing- <br />ton. DC, 1982). <br />43. S. T. A. Pickett and P. S. 15 hire, Eds., The Ecology of Natural Duturhance and Patin <br />Dynamics (Academic Press, New York 1985). <br />44. K.:.ecrns, Bull. Euomol. So,. Am. 15, 237 (1969); Lea. Math. Ljs Sei. 2, 75 <br />(19-0). <br />45. R. Lando, Am. Nat. 130, 624 (1987). <br />46. 1. L. Brown, The Evolution of Behavior (Norton, New York, 1975). <br />47. hl. L. Shaffer, BwSctenre 31. 131 (1981). <br />48. W. R Dawson r, al.. Condor 89. 205 (1987). <br />49. R Lando, Oecoiom 75, 601 (1988). <br />50. "Draft supplement to the rnsvonmental impact statement for an amendment to the <br />Pacific Northwest regional guide" (U.S. Forest Senxe, Portland, OR 1986), vols. <br />1-2. <br />51. J. D. Ligon, P. B. Stacey, R. N. Conner, C. E. Bock C. S. Adkisson. Auk 103, 848 <br />(1986;. <br />52. R N Cornier and D. C. Rudoiph, "Red-cockaded woodpecker colons status and <br />trends on the An¢ebna, Das•c Crockett, and Sabine National Forests" (U.S. Forest <br />Smxc, Nacogdoches, T), 1987). <br />53. 1 thank J. I. BuL S. Al. Cha.•nbers, D. Jablonski, and C. Al. Pease for helpful <br />discussions, and 1. A. Coyne. T. D. Price, ht. L%m& M. Slatkin. A. Al. Wood, and <br />two anonvmous reviewers for criticisms of the manuscript. Supported by U.S. <br />Pubuc Health Service grant GM27120. <br />Recruitment Dynamics in Complex Life Cycles <br />JONATHAN ROUGHGARDEN, STEVEN GAINES, HUGH POSSINGHAM <br />Organisms living in the marine rocky intertidal zone <br />compete for space. This, together with predation, physical <br />disruption, and differing species tolerances to physiologi- <br />cal stress, explains the structure of the ecological commu- <br />nities at some sites. At other sites the supply of larvae is <br />limiting, and events in the offshore waters, such as wind. <br />driven upwelling, explain the composition of intertidal <br />rnmmunities. Whether the community ecology at a site is <br />governed by adult-adult interactions within the site, or by <br />limitations to the supply of larvae reaching the site, is <br />determined by the regional pattern of circulation in the <br />coastal waters. Models combining larval circulation with <br />adult interactions can potentially forecast population <br />fluctuations. These findings illustrate how processes in <br />different ecological habitats are coupled. <br />marine biologist, Gunnar Thorson, observed that a majority of the <br />marine invertebrate species whose adult phase lives on rocks or <br />burrowed in mud have a two-phase life cycle (3). The conspicuous <br />adult phases of barnacles, starfish, snails, dams, worms, and so forth, <br />arc usually preceded by nearly invisible larval phases that live and <br />feed in the coastal waters for a fed- days to a few months, depending <br />on the species. Most fish also have a two-phase life cycle. The <br />dynamics of a two-phase species can, in principle, be affected at <br />either phase. But Thorson further noted that two-phase species have <br />large fluctuations in abundance when compared to otherwise similar <br />one-phase species. Thus, the larval phase, and not the adult phase, <br />was implicated as the point at which fluctuations affect marine <br />population dynamics. Because most coastal marine populations have <br />rN Transport <br />Offshore water column <br />H UMANnT HAS LONG BEEN PERPLEXED BY ERRATIC FLUC- <br />tuitions in the abundance of commercially exploited ma- <br />rine populations, such as sardines, herring, squid, lobsters, <br />and crabs. One of the first models of theoretical ecology was <br />proposed by Vito Volterra to explain such fluctuations as oscilla- <br />tions resulting from a nonlinear predator-prey interaction (1). <br />Although Volterra's model is still of mathemarical interest, fluctua- <br />tions in marine populations are not regular enough to be considered <br />oscillations (2) and their cause has retrained mvsterious. <br />Most biologists assume that marine population fluctuations are <br />somehow caused by events in the offshore waters. The great Danish <br />1. Roughgarden is a professor in the Deparmnrnt of Biological Sciences. Stanford <br />Universm, Stanford, CA 94305. and at the Hopkins Marne Station. Oeeanview <br />Bouk%mni Pacific G-,c, CA 93950. S. Gaines is an aSS<* M Professor in the Graduate <br />Program in Ecology and Evolutiaean• Biology, Brown Unnesin•, Pro6denoe Rl <br />02912. H. Poss-Olam is a posrdocioral rewards assooae in the Department of <br />Biological Sciences, Sanford Onn•asrry. <br />ibsstlr <br />Transport <br />-"V% <br />Transport <br /> <br />Ba„r,es L"rT.. c.s,=.:s._-1 earnrww <br />larva 1 Reelty inlartirJwl hnhlttrt=' 1 (inra <br />Transport f Transport <br />Fig. 1. Schematic of interacdons between species in a community of the <br />rockv intertidal zone Physical contact between adult animals attached to the <br />rocks Inds to hicrarchieal competition for space As shown with a line <br />tcrmmating in a dot, an individual of Balarsus glandula to crgrows or crushes <br />an individual of Cheitamalss dalli. Also, mormlit• from abiotxe mechanisms, <br />and from predarion by the starfish Pisasrer oehraeem, affects B. glandula more <br />than C. dalli. Both species release a larva to the water column that may <br />evenrualh mum to settle on vaant space, as illustrated by the arrow <br />coupling each life arie to offshore transport mcchanisms. <br />01 <br />T <br />fc <br />a <br />of <br />V <br />sl <br />G <br />is <br />w <br />d <br />fl <br />a <br />e <br />F <br />r <br />-; n <br />e <br />t <br />r <br />l <br />r <br />a <br />>t <br />t <br />c <br />t <br />1 <br />( <br />1 <br />i <br />14.60 <br />SCIENCE, VOL. 24.I