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<br /> <br />Figure 9. Relationships between the average cohort total length <br />(TL) at repatriation (release) and recapture (survival) of subadult <br />razorback suckers in Lake Mohave, Arizona and Nevada (dark- <br />ened diamonds), and the San Juan River, New Mexico and Utah <br />(open diamonds), based on cohorts of more than 100 individuals. <br />The top graph displays the minimum first year survival; the bot- <br />tom graph, the minimum survival to the fourth year after release. <br />Benefits to native fishes must be a specified target in any <br />future endeavors on the lower Colorado River; otherwise the <br />fishes will disappear. System upkeep and repair, sport-fish <br />management, alterations that may influence listed fishes and <br />their habitats, and other manipulations are the concerns of <br />the various agencies already involved. Enforcement of closures <br />for security, questions of beneficial use of water, legal con- <br />cerns over water apportionment, concern for evaporation <br />from new water surfaces, and other issues will also need <br />consideration. <br />Our greatest concern is that nonnatives maybecome es- <br />tablished in places dedicated to native fish production. It is <br />unreasonable to expect off-channel, isolated habitats to <br />entirely avoid vandalism or inadvertent addition of non- <br />natives. Education and information programs for boaters, <br />anglers, and others will be essential. Nonetheless, contam- <br />ination will predictably occur, necessitating renovation <br />and reestablishment of native populations. This might be <br />achieved by regularly destroying and reconstructing habi- <br />tat, introducing a surrogate for natural processes of chan- <br />nel realignment, aggradation (oxbow filling), and degra- <br />dation (scour). <br />232 BioScience • March 2003 / Vol. 53 No. 3 <br />Conclusion <br />Ongoing programs to manage native fishes in the lower <br />Colorado River focus on individual species and are largely <br />without benefit of an overall plan. Their ultimate con- <br />tributions to recovery are unknown. At best, fulfillment <br />of the major commitment to native fishes envisioned by <br />developers of a lower river recovery implementation pro- <br />gram waits in the distant future. Nonetheless, genetic <br />and demographic conditions of the native resources are <br />inarguably worse today than a decade or two ago, and cer- <br />tainly they are worse than at the time of target species' re- <br />spective listings as endangered. Further deterioration <br />seems inevitable unless innovative management scenar- <br />ios are developed and implemented in the near term. <br />We offer a practical plan for management of lower <br />Colorado River native fishes that is biologically sound, fis- <br />cally responsible, and considerate of potentially conflict- <br />ing resource uses. The plan incorporates state-of-the-art <br />information from conservation genetics and population <br />dynamics arenas and offers a realistic mechanism by <br />which to ensure the continued presence of healthy pop- <br />ulations of native fishes in the lower river ecosystem. <br />Proactive decisions and fund allocations by bureaucrats, <br />coupled with aggressive implementation by fisheries man- <br />agers, are all that is required to realize the full benefits of <br />the plan. What may well be missing is the political will to <br />carry it out. <br />Acknowledgments <br />The US Fish and Wildlife Service, Region 2, convened a <br />scientific work group (SWG) in 1999 to draft a plan for <br />management of endangered fishes in the lower Colorado <br />River. This article is one outcome of that process. The <br />members, technical advisors, and support group of the <br />SWG included the following people, in addition to the authors: <br />from the US Bureau of Reclamation, Thomas Burke and <br />Glen Gould; from the Nevada Department of Wildlife, Jon <br />Sjoberg, Mark Warren, and Gene Weller; from the US Fish and <br />Wildlife Service, Chester Figiel, Lesley Fitzpatrick, Owen <br />Gorman, Stuart Leon, Cynthia Martinez, C. O. Minckley, <br />Sam Spiller, Pete Stine, Manual Ulibarn, and Robert Williams; <br />from the California Fish and Game Department, Chris Hayes; <br />from the Arizona Game and Fish Department, Rob Bettaso, <br />Tom Liles, and Kirk Young, and from the New Mexico De- <br />partment of Game and Fish, David Propst. <br />References cited <br />Brower A, Reedy G Yelin-Kefer J. 2001. Consensus versus conservation in the <br />upper Colorado River Basin Recovery Implementation Program. <br />Conservation Biology 15:1001-1007. <br />Carlson CA, Muth RT. 1989. The Colorado River: Lifeline of the American <br />Southwest. Pages 220-239 in Dodge DP, ed. Proceedings of the Interna- <br />tional Large Rivers Symposium, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and <br />Aquatic Sciences 106 (special publication). <br />Dowling TE, Minckley WL., Marsh PC, Goldstein ES. 1996a. Mitochondrial <br />DNA variability in the endangered razorback sucker (Xymuchen texanus): <br />Analysis of hatchery stocks and implications for captive propagation. <br />Conservation Biology 10: 120-127.