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tions at population size N (Frankel and Soule 1981). This <br />formula, and the concept of genetic drift, simply represents <br />a chronic bottleneck. However, whereas a bottleneck may <br />do little harm in one generation, a prolonged bottleneck can <br />seriously reduce variance (Fig. 3). The longer the period of <br />drift, and the smaller the population, the greater will be the <br />loss of variance. For example, only 60% of original variance <br />will remain in a population of 10 after 10 generations. A <br />population of 100 will retain 95% in that time, but if followed <br />for 100 generations (only 100 years in an "annual" fish), <br />variance is reduced to 60.6%. For 1000 years this value drops <br />to 0.67%. Clearly, drift can be quite detrimental to long-term <br />genetic health in small populations. Even in the short term, <br />drift can significantly reduce proportion of polymorphic loci <br />(P), average number of alleles per locus (Ma), and average <br />heterozygosity per individual (H). For example, a hatchery <br />stock of Montana west-slope cutthroat trout (Sabno clarki <br />lewist); derived 14 years earlier frost approximately 60 wild <br />individuals, exhibited reductions of 57% (P), 29%a (Ma), and <br />21% (H) compared with the original stock (Allendorf and <br />Phelps 1980). Other studies of natural (Avise and Selander <br />1972; Vrijenhoek 1979; Vrijenhoek and Lerman 1982) and <br />captive (Ryman and Stahl 1980; Cross and King 1983; Tan- <br />iguchi et al. 1983) populations of fishes also illustrate the <br />importance of drift. <br />Inbreeding Depression. Inbreeding depression is possibly <br />the most serious and yet most nebulous problem facing <br />managers of endangered fishes. Inbreeding, or consanguin- <br />ity, is defined as the mating of individuals related by com- <br />mon ancestry (Jacquard 1975; Falconer 1981), that is, those <br />U <br />Z <br />Z <br />Q <br />W <br />!r <br />100 Ne= 1000 <br />N =100 <br />90 ? Ne = 50 <br />601 N <br />e <br />W 50 <br />U <br />Z 40 <br />Q <br />30 <br />Q <br />20 Ne=1 <br />0 <br />that share more genes in common due to descent than in- <br />dividuals randomly selected from the population. It is a <br />relative concept because the degree of consanguinity is con- <br />sidered relative to that of a base population, and thus there <br />is no absolute measure of inbreeding. The most useful meas- <br />urement is the increase in inbreeding per generation, expressed <br />as AF = (2II . This formula illustrates that a smaller effec- <br />tive population size is more susceptible to inbreeding effects <br />(Fig. 4). <br />Contrary to random drift and bottlenecks, inbreeding does <br />not affect overall genetic variance in the population per se. <br />Rather, inbreeding results in a predictable increase in homo- <br />zygous genotypes (Frankel and Soule 1981) differentially <br />affecting different traits. Fitness characters (those related to <br />reproduction, Robertson 1955) and others with low herita- <br />bilities (Falconer 1981) are most affected by consanguinous <br />matings. Consequently, such traits as fecundity, fertility, <br />age at maturity, clutch size, growth, or survivorship will be <br />greatly depressed by inbreeding (Bowman and Falconer 1960; <br />Wright 1977; Senner 1980). Data from domesticated animals <br />demonstrate that a OF of 10% will result in a 5-10% decline <br />in individual reproductive traits; if total reproductive per- <br />formance is considered in aggregate, this may amount to an <br />overall 25% decrease (Frankel and Soule 1981). This is an <br />unacceptable level of depression, particularly if it occurs <br />over an extended number of generations. Franklin (1980) <br />and Soule (1980) suggest that a 1% level of inbreeding is <br />tolerable in the short term, amounting to an effective pop- <br />ulation size of 50. Population sizes in excess of 500 are sug- <br />gested for the long term. <br />tl <br />d <br />Ne <br />1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 <br />GENERATION <br />Figure 3. Proportion of original genetic variance remaining in pop- <br />ulations of various sizes after 1 to 10 generations. <br />Figure 4. Inbreeding depression as a function of Ne. A selfing <br />hermaphrodite would have 50% of its heterozygous loci become <br />homozygous each generation as a result of inbreeding. A popu- <br />lation of 10 would experience a 5% increase in homozygosity each <br />generation. <br />January - February 1986 17 <br />1 10 100