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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />INTRODUCTION <br /> <br />Construction and operation of the Aspinall Unit has had a major effect on flow <br />regimes and frequency of high spring-runoff flows of the Gunnison and Colorado rivers. <br />Maximum annual discharge (highest mean daily flow) has decreased by 47% in the <br />Gunnison River and 37% in the Colorado River from 1914 to 1989 (McAda and Kaeding, <br />1991). Mean montWy flows for May and June, the primary runoff period, have declined <br />43 and 47%, respectively, in the Gunnison River, and 31 and 37%, respectively, in the <br />Colorado River. The Aspinall Unit is responsible for 75 to 85% of the flow changes <br />observed between 1965 and 1989 in the Colorado River during May and June (McAda <br />and Kaeding, 1991). <br /> <br />Endangered fish species in the Colorado River Basin, i.e. Colorado pikeminnow <br />(Ptychocheilus lucius), razorback sucker (Xyrauchen texanus), humpback chub (Gila <br />cypha), and bonytail chub (Gila elegans), as well as other sympatric native fishes, evolved <br />with and adapted to the natural cycle of flow patterns of these river systems (Modde and <br />Smith, 1995; Tyus, 1989; Osmundson et aI., 1995). Flow alterations during the spawning <br />periods may be especially disruptive to reproductive processes of sensitive fish species. <br />Colorado pikeminnow spawn on the descending limb of the hydrograph when flows are <br />dropping and water temperatures are rising (Osmundson et aI., 1995). Also Colorado <br />pikeminnow larvae,have been found to passively drift in the current (Haynes et aI., 1984; <br />Nesler et aI., 1988; Nesler, 1986), presumably to nursery habitats which can be <br />considerable distances downstream of spawning sites (Tyus and McAda, 1984; Tyus, <br />1986; McAda and Kaeding, 1989; Osmundson and Kaeding, 1991). If environmental <br />variables have become less favorable for reproduction because of flow alternations, <br />endangered fish species may have reduced potential for recruitment and long term <br />population stability compared to natural conditions. <br /> <br />Year-class strength strongly influences subsequent adult population sizes and is <br />typically delimited at a very early life stage (Mills and Mann, 1985). Fluctuations in year- <br />class strength are mostly attributable to environmental factors that regulate survival of <br />eggs and larvae. Colorado pikeminnow begin spawning in a range from 160 to 220C <br />(Bestgen, 1998), which is usually from mid June to mid July in the Colorado River. Egg <br />survivability can be directly impacted during this time by flow and temperature conditions <br />and the amount of silt in spawning sites (Mills and Mann, 1985; Bestgen and Williams, <br />1994). Flow conditions determine depths and velocities over spawning sites, which <br />agitate and oxygenate eggs (Naesje et aI., 1995). <br /> <br />Significant causes of mortality on larval fish are starvation and predation (pepin, <br />1998). Emergence of larvae from nests must be synchronous with an adequate supply of <br />forage items and larval fish habitats for recruitment to the next life stage. Significant <br />alteration of flow and temperature conditions during the larval life stage have high <br />potential to negatively impact year-class strength by disrupting the timing between larval <br />emergence and forage and habitat availability. Colorado pikeminnow larvae are dependent <br />on runoffflow for dispersal arid transport to nursery habitats (Tyus, 1986). <br />