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<br />------------------- <br /> <br />Predicting change in adult abundance <br /> <br />Estimates of annual population increase or decrease of adult Colorado pikeminnow in the Colorado <br />River based on expected recruitment and survival. Example is for 1998 (year at time I). Adults are <br />considered fish> 500 mm. Survival rate assumes 86%. Fish 474-499 mm are those expected to recruit <br />in following year (grow to at least 500 mm), based on an average growth increment of 25.8 mm for fish <br />of this size (see Osmundson 2001). <br /> Fish 474-499 mm <br /> Pop est percent number Adult Survival to Adults change <br /> pop est yr i + 1 at yr i + 1 expected <br /> 1998 <br />upper reach 435 1.4 6 412 <br />lower reach 330 5.8 19 106 <br />Whole river total 25 518 445 470 -9.3% <br />