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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Introduction <br /> <br />Colorado offered measurable criteria and recovery objectives for the <br />Colorado pikeminnow, humpback chub, razorback sucker, and bony tail in river <br />basins in Colorado in January 1992 as a step toward a similar process for the <br />Upper Colorado River Basin. Thus far, the development of recovery goals has <br />been diffuse, with several documents addressing recovery goals in a piecemeal or <br />indirect manner. These include Colorado's Interim Recovery Objectives (Nesler et <br />al. 1992), Population Viability Analysis for Colorado Pikeminnow (Gilpin 1993), <br />Endangered Fish Interim Management Objectives (Lentsch et al. 1998), Colorado <br />Endangered Fishes Stocking Plan (Nesler 1998), and Utah Endangered Fishes <br />Stocking Plan (Hudson et al. 1999). To date, no document exists as guidance for <br />the Recovery Program that provides downlisting and delisting criteria and goals for <br />the four endangered fish species. This paper is offered as a proposal for what <br />recovery might look like for the four endangered fishes using quantifiable, <br />biological criteria that can be measured and estimated from field data. Other <br />institutional processes and products required to address the habitat security <br />component of recovery are not addressed here. <br /> <br />Approach <br /> <br />Recovery goals are a human artifice constructed for the purpose of defining <br />the status of a target species; its population demographics and ecological function, <br />and the environment in which the target species is self-sustaining, and can coexist <br />with society in a more or less modified environment. The quantification of these <br />recovery goals is based to the greatest extent possible on scientific and <br />biologically-based criteria and knowledge. Current computer-based models can <br />serve to demonstrate when a species' population will persist over a select period of <br />time. A chosen suite of population parameters such as survival, mortality, and <br />growth rates are varied within a chosen range of values as if affected by a dynamic <br />environment. Model output indicates if persistence is achieved at or above a <br />chosen abundance level over a chosen time period at a select level of statistical <br />confidence. There is no model, however, that "tells us" when recovery is achieved <br />because model results are also derived using untested and simplified assumptions . <br />about how populations of a species relate to a dynamic environment. Apart from <br />the requisite of "self-sustaining", which is biological in nature, other criteria that <br />describe recovery, e.g., distribution, number of populations and habitat protection, <br />are as much a process of determination by governmental agencies or recovery <br />program participants responsible for the management of the species as they are <br />estimated from biological requirements. <br /> <br />In 1992, Colorado's Interim Recovery Objectives described management <br />stocks for each of the endangered fish species as components of recovery, and <br />further specified a suite of population parameters that described the structure and <br />function of these populations. Existing values for these parameters were provided <br /> <br />1 <br />