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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />of a humpback chub population has been that in Hideout Canyon impacted by <br />Flaming Gorge Reservoir in 1962. It is important to recognize that these seven <br />population segments have persisted since their discovery. None appear to be in <br />danger of extirpation due to present environmental conditions. All five of the <br />population complexes must meet the requirements for abundance trend, <br />recruitment and population size structure for both downlisting and delisting. This <br />includes separate goals for these criteria for Black Rocks and Westwater Canyon <br />population segments. <br /> <br />The same considerations of genetic viability described for Colorado <br />pikeminnow apply to the humpback chub. As such, an Ne of 500-1,000 fish and <br />NJN ratio of 0.5 are applied to the determination of a minimum abundance <br />criterion. Observed sex ratios in humpback chub populations in the Little Colorado <br />River and Westwater Canyon appear very close to 1 M: 1 F (Valdez and Ryel 1995, <br />Chart and Lentsch 1999). Given that these observations mayor may not <br />accurately represent the true sex ratio of the spawning population, M:F ratios of <br />2M: 1 F and 3M: 1 F were also considered. Under these population combinations, the <br />target abundance necessary to maintain Ne=1000 fish would be 2,000-2,700 fish. <br />The target abundance necessary to maintain Ne=SOO fish would be 1,000-1,400 <br />fish. The range of population estimates provided here and in other studies suggest <br />most of the humpback chub population segments and population complexes have <br />adequate numbers to maintain an Ne=SOO criterion regardless of the sex ratio. <br />The Slack Rocks, Westwater Canyon, Little Colorado-Grand Canyon, and <br />Desolation-Gray Canyon populations have adequate numbers to maintain an <br />Ne=1 ,000 under the 1:1 sex ratio and Ne/N=O.S. <br /> <br />Lacking better biological data to refine a target abundance for genetic <br />viability, 2000 adult fish ~17S mm is proposed as a feasible and credible genetic <br />requirement. Addition of a buffer to this minimum equal to the 24% mortality rate <br />results in an abundance goal of 2,500 fish. Population estimates for Black Rocks- <br />Westwater and Little Colorado-Grand Canyon demonstrate abundance estimates <br />well above this requirement (Table A-S, A-6; Pfeifer et al. 1998, Chart and Lentsch <br />1998, Douglas and Marsh 1996, Valdez and Ryel 1997). Further population <br />estimation work will be necessary to determine if the Desolation-Gray Canyon or <br />the Yampa-Whirlpool-Split Mountain population complexes have the capacity to <br />meet this abundance goal. It is proposed that two of the five populations or <br />population complexes meeting the abundance criteria for maintaining genetic <br />viability are sufficient argument for down listing the species to threatened; and three <br />populations meeting the necessary abundance criteria sufficient for deli sting. <br />Further population estimation work is necessary on most of the humpback chub <br />populations to establish abundance magnitude and trends. <br /> <br />The available habitat and potential carrying capacity of these canyons is <br />clearly different in terms of river miles, and perhaps also different in terms of the <br />quality of habitat for humpback chub. If one accepts a 76% survival rate in the <br />Black Rocks and Westwater populations, then the population estimates suggest <br /> <br />27 <br />