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<br />10 <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Green River shows a similar decrease in recruitment from 23-27% to 5-9%, but is <br />distinguished by a subsequent increase to 19% in 1997. The White and Yampa <br />populations show similar recruitment attributes with rates fluctuating between 8- <br />16% and 8-22%, respectively, that are interspersed with single years of 0% <br />recruitment. Neither of these tributary populations demonstrates clear increasing <br />or declining trends in recruitment. Given the dependence of the White and Yampa <br />populations on recruitment from the Green River, increases in the small to mid-size <br />classes in the latter population would be expected to result ultimately in evidence <br />of increased recruitment to the tributary populations. This presumption is based on <br />the dispersal behavior noted by Osmundson et al. (1997). <br /> <br />Recovery Goals and Criteria Three populations are proposed as important to <br />recovery. These are the Green River, Colorado River, and San Juan River <br />populations. The presence of a Colorado pikeminnow population in all three sub- <br />basins is considered necessary, but only two of these three populations are <br />required to meet the criteria defined for abundance, abundance trend, annual <br />natural recruitment, and adult length frequency distribution for both downlisting and <br />delisting. The first two populations are further separated into population segments <br />with an associated distribution in major tributaries. These population complexes <br />reflect an interconnected system of linked population segments. For the Green <br />River complex, it is evident that adult populations reside in the four tributary rivers <br />and these populations join with the Green River adult population in producing the <br />larval progeny that drift into and grow to the juvenile stage in nursery habitats in <br />the mainstem Green River. These juvenile fish ultimately disperse, and recruit into <br />the adult populations. This dispersal and recruitment as adult fish maintain the <br />tributary populations in the Yampa and White rivers, and presumably in the _ <br />Duchesne and Price rivers as well as the mainstem Green River population. In the <br />Colorado River, enhancement of the Gunnison River as a tributary population and <br />expansion into unoccupied mainstem habitat from Palisade toward Rifle are <br />recovery measures that would serve to increase population size and complexity <br />and contribute to demographic and genetic stability. The San Juan River <br />population is the smallest and most limited in habitat and habitat complexity (via <br />lack of access to large tributaries like the Animas River), but the persistence of a <br />very small Colorado pikeminnow population suggests recovery potential exists. <br />The uncertainty of this potential compared to the other two subbasin populations <br />makes application of population criteria more speculative, but the presence of a <br />population in the San Juan as a distributional requirement at least is appropriate. <br /> <br />Abundance goals must consider genetic viability through maintaining <br />effective population size (Ne). Franklin (1980) suggested an Ne of 500 animals <br />provides long-term maintenance of genetic diversity. Lynch (1996) indicated that <br />an Ne of 1000 was acceptable for long-term maintenance of adaptive genetic <br />variation. Even in long-lived animals such as these fish species with an estimated <br />survival rate of 0.86, it is unlikely that all individuals in a population contribute to <br />the next generation, therefore a greater number of adult fish are necessary to <br />