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<br />This review and evaluation of population status and recruitment potential for the <br />Grand Valley population of Colorado pikeminnow does not provide much support for the <br />efficacy of depending upon natural recolonization of the target unoccupied reaches of the <br />upper Colorado and Gunnison by the existing adult population, or using the Grand Valley <br />adult population as a donor for translocating sufficient numbers of fish above the instream <br />barriers in one or both reaches to create an effective population size in a timely manner. <br />Translocation raises concern over additional risks that include: <br /> <br />1) reproductive success of translocated adult fish taken from a home range; it cannot be <br />assumed to be the same in the new environment for a species with a complex <br />spawning behavior. (Conversely, the expectation of reproductive success in stocked <br />populations must also be tested through monitoring.) <br /> <br />2) the complex reproductive cycle of this species, including factors of imprinting, <br />chemoreception, learned behavior, or other instinctual behaviors are not understood. <br /> <br />3) reproductive tradeoffs cannot be assumed equal or insignificant between established <br />patterns in Grand Valley sites and new sites upriver with respect to spawning <br />behavior, spawning success, hatching success, and larval and young-of-the-year <br />survival. <br /> <br />Given that the adult Colorado pikeminnow population is about 4 fish/mile in the <br />Grand Valley reach and 3-3.4 fish/mile in the Utah reach below Westwater, and recruitment <br />of strong year classes is currently infrequent, depletion of the donor population from either <br />source appears possible. If one considers the lower ends of the interval estimates provided in <br />Osmundson and Burnham (161 and 186 fISh) rather than the midpoints, which are within the <br />95 % confidence limits for estimated population size, than depletion of the donor population <br />seems likely. Given a survival rate of 0.86 and the translocation of 10 fish/year, it would <br />require the translocation of 100 adults over a 10 year period to create a new population of 55 <br />fish. Reliance upon occurrence of another strong year class during the period of <br />translocation effects seems risky for a population considered vulnerable to extinction from <br />stochastic demographic changes. <br /> <br />This should not be construed as opposition to translocation as part of the strategy for <br />establishing Colorado pikeminnow populations in the unoccupied reaches of the upper <br />Colorado and Gunnison rivers. In addition to fish that use the Redlands passageway, it <br />would also appear desirable to translocate similar-sized fish captured immediately below the <br />barrier within the plunge pool downstream of the dam. This can be viewed as assisting the <br />passage of fish that cannot or will not use the constructed passageway and facilitating natural <br />mechanisms of migration, dispersal and recruitment. Osmundson et aI. (1996) demonstrated <br />significantly greater non spawning movements upstream for juvenile/early adult Colorado <br />pikeminnow than for larger, older adults. Though not stated explicitly by Osmundson et al., <br />this attribute may be evidence of a population dispersal mechanism by which young fish <br />recruit into and thus maintain the upstream adult populations. The use of the Redlands <br /> <br />13 <br />