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2 BIOLOGICAL REPORT 24 <br />strongly supported reregulation of flows in the Green and Colorado rivers to produce <br />more natural, seasonal patterns. <br />Based on review of the ecological information and recognizing the problems in the <br />methodological approaches that were used to derive flow recommendations, several key <br />uncertainties seem to be critical to the goal of establishing flow regimes that will <br />ultimately recover the endangered fishes. <br />• Flow seasonality and its correlates (e.g., temperature and physical habitat) may <br />not be the factors limiting recovery of the native fishes. <br />• Given the high societal value placed on tailwater trout fisheries and the high <br />priority placed on meeting entitlements under the Colorado River Compact and <br />current water law, water volume in the Colorado and Green rivers may be <br />insufficient to produce flows required to recover the fishes. <br />• Channel and floodplain morphology in time and space is not a simple flow-area <br />relationship, and complex interactions not yet fully,understood may emerge that <br />will compromise recovery of the fish. <br />• What is the tradeoff between the propensity of endangered fish larvae to drift <br />downstream and the need for high flows to maintain connectivity between the <br />channel and backwaters and wetlands? <br />• Can food webs reestablish in key low velocity habitats (backwaters) to the extent <br />needed to recover the fishes, given the windows permitted or needed for <br />hydropower operations? <br />• Can the endangered fishes expand their range and productivity, given the <br />downstream extension of coldwater environments caused by regulation, and is the <br />locality of the transition zone between cold and warm reaches likely to stay <br />constant as reregulated flow regimes are implemented? <br />• Interactions with nonnative fishes may limit recovery of endangered fishes <br />regardless of flow provisions. <br />The report concludes with recommendations that couple management action <br />(implementation of interim flow regimes) with additional study to resolve the <br />uncertainties presented above. The recommendations reflect an ecosystem approach to <br />resolution of flows needed to protect and enhance the endangered fishes of the Upper <br />Colorado River Basin. In essence, these recommendations constitute a new, holistic <br />instream flow methodology. <br />• Implement interim flows that reestablish seasonality, with spring peaks that <br />approach the amplitude and frequency of preregulation events, and summer and <br />winter baseflows with daily changes (not daily volume) limited to near <br />preregulation conditions (probably no more than about 5% per day). <br />• Provide common understanding of water availability so that interim flows can be <br />provided in relation to precipitation and legal flow abstraction in each subbasin. <br />• Improve the standardized monitoring program as a mechanism to evaluate <br />effectiveness of interim flows by adding a community ecology perspective. <br />• Diversify the research program to resolve critical uncertainties associated with <br />interim flows. <br />• Implement a peer review process to ensure that research and monitoring objectives <br />are based on solid science and are responsive to the need to resolve uncertainties <br />associated with the interim flows. <br />• Implement a management process that can adaptively change the interim flows as <br />new implications from monitoring and research are forthcoming. <br />The recommended methodology needs unambiguous endorsement to be successful. <br />Success or failure will be judged by long-term trends in the populations of the endangered <br />fishes.