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INSTREAM FLOWS TO ASSIST THE RECOVERY OF ENDANGERED FISHES 29 <br />Are There Other Options? <br />Strong inferences can be derived from careful <br />measures of channel processes that influence habi- <br />tats important to the fishes. Reiser et al. (1989b) <br />described the physical relationships between hy- <br />draulics and movement of sediments with respect <br />to deriving flushing flows to remove fine sediments <br />entrained within the bottom of an alluvial river. <br />These principles of flow mechanics can be used to <br />derive other formalized approaches to manage <br />flows for the purpose of maintaining channel forms <br />the fishes use. Sediment transport mechanics de- <br />pend on detailed information on sediment grada- <br />tion, channel geomorphology, and channel slope. If <br />data needed to calculate sediment mass balance are <br />available and are coupled with detailed topographic <br />information, derived either from aerial photo- <br />graphs or surveys over the period before and after <br />regulation, the morphological dynamics of the <br />channel can be documented (cf., Andrews 1986; <br />Lyons and Pucherelli 1992), and informed ap- <br />proaches to flow negotiations can proceed. How- <br />ever, regime analyses too often rely on untested <br />assumptions that some flow volume and rate rela- <br />tionship, usually bankfull flow, is the dominant <br />channel-forming flow. Determination of bankfull <br />flow is problematic owing to local variations in <br />channel morphology coupled with usually too few <br />data on hydraulics of the reach during peak flow <br />events. <br />In my view the preferred approach is a thorough, <br />empirical understanding of sediment gradation, <br />channel geomorphology, and channel slope, with <br />which movement of sediment and hence the dy- <br />namics of many physical habitats important to <br />aquatic biota can be estimated as a function of the <br />amplitude of peak flow events. Andrews and Nelson <br />(1989) used this approach to document topographic <br />responses of a large bar complex in the Green River <br />over a history of flow events. A major advantage of <br />the model is that, although it is deterministic, <br />flows, sediment supply, and, to some extent, topog- <br />raphy can be stochastic. The model is being used to <br />predict dynamics of sediment transport and chan- <br />nel topography in response to flow variation else- <br />where in the Colorado River system. Model devel- <br />opment and verification is greatly assisted by <br />recent improvements in automated field surveying <br />equipment (total stations) that allow rapid and very <br />accurate measurements of local topography (E. D. <br />Andrews, personal communication). However, as <br />concluded by Reiser et al. (1989b), the most certain <br />method to determine relationships between peak <br />flow events and channel features in a regulated <br />river is to tag an array of bed materials, carefully <br />survey channel topography (sensu Andrews and <br />Nelson 1989), and relate movement of materials <br />and changes in topography to different flow events <br />carefully controlled by reservoir releases. However, <br />the flow peaks have to be high enough to move the <br />tagged bed materials, which can be approximated <br />using standard hydraulic calculations. <br />From a more biological perspective, several al- <br />ternative approaches are possible. Binns and Eis- <br />erman (1979) predicted trout biomass in Wyoming <br />streams with a habitat quality index (HQI) in which <br />11 habitat variables, including baseflow and an- <br />nual change in discharge, thought to influence <br />trout populations were rated subjectively. The pre- <br />dictions were significantly correlated with actual <br />measures of biomass. The Delphi rating schedules <br />used in this technique apparently resolved much of <br />the nonlinearity usually observed in relationships <br />between habitat descriptors and fish biomass. The <br />Delphi method is an iterative procedure for obtain- <br />ing consensus of best professional judgment, when <br />direct measurements are not available (Zuboy <br />1981). However, Bowlby and Rolf (1986) were not <br />as successful in using the method in Ontario <br />streams because trout density changed within <br />stream segments when habitat variables remained <br />the same. Other biophysical indices of habitat qual- <br />ity have been proposed (cf., Osborne et al. 1992; <br />Rabeni and Jacobson 1993); they have been used to <br />establish relative influences of stream regulation in <br />different streams, but to my knowledge they have <br />not been used to examine incremental effects of <br />now. <br />A general (simple application in different <br />streams) incremental flow-biomass model that is <br />statistically precise (repeatable) and accurate (de- <br />scribes reality) is probably not attainable, espe- <br />cially in large rivers like the upper Colorado, where <br />ecosystem structure and function are complex and <br />poorly known. However, the problem can be ap- <br />proached from a multidisciplinary perspective, <br />where strong inferences about how the endangered <br />fishes are likely to respond to reregulated flow <br />regimes can be derived from process-oriented stud- <br />ies that demonstrate key biophysical relationships. <br />Linking hydrology, geomorphology, and limnology <br />in an ecosystem context is the key (Stanford and <br />Ward 1992a), and I recommend below a new ap- <br />proach for reaching an ecosystem level of under- <br />standing with respect to flow provision in potamon <br />reaches of the Upper Colorado River Basin.