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<br />Squawfish Population Viability Analysis --July 1993 <br /> <br />Page 40 <br /> <br />As argued above, the Colorado squawfish in the Upper Basin of the <br />Colorado River is not fragmented. It's distribution is relatively <br />continuous, with no internal breaks. There seems to be nothing equivalent <br />to an "edge effect" that affects these fish. Of course, there are "end <br />effects" created by blocks to the river flow, for example, Lake Powell and <br />Flaming Gorge Reservoir. But these are something different. <br /> <br />In the entire Colorado River drainage, there has, of course, been <br />fragmentation created by the major dams. The small fragmented <br />populations of Colorado squawfish below Lake Powell did go extinct. This <br />needs to be explained. It could be from Allee Effects, mentioned above. <br /> <br />I tried to construct a metapopulation model of the Colorado squawfish, but <br />I couldn't get close to the biological patterns reflected in the literature and <br />by the comments of the on-river squawfish biologists. So, unlike many <br />other species, the Colorado squawfish is not in its current range governed <br />by extinction/recolonization dynamics. <br /> <br />4.3 SourcelSink Dynamics <br /> <br />Source/sink dynamics occur when one region of the population has positive <br />population growth and exhibits net emigration and a different region, with <br />negative growth, sustains its numbers with net immigration from the <br />region with excess growth. I believe this is possible with subpopulations in <br />the Upper Basin of the Colorado River. My hypothesis is shown in Figure <br />4.1. The basic idea is that the juveniles that drift past the confluence of the <br />Green and Colorado Rivers return upstream as sub adults in a partially <br />random manner. This results in a net subsidization of the Colorado from <br />the Green. This is, of course, speculative. <br />