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<br />Squawfish Population Viability Analysis --July 1993 <br /> <br />Page 3 <br /> <br />no evidence or suggestion that the Colorado squawflsh does <br />not have a density-regulated carrying capacity. This K value is <br />doubtless shifted below the level that prevailed before human <br />disturbance. <br /> <br />Positive density dependence and partially correlated spatial <br />connectance are the key findings that support the conclusion <br />of high viability. The final computer model of the Upper Basin <br />showed no extinction over substantial spans of parameter <br />values. <br /> <br />Vulnerability is a more difficult issue than viability. I <br />speculated that an Allee Effect, based upon the spawning size <br />of adults, could upset positive density dependence. And I <br />argued that any major externally imposed fragmentation, i.e., <br />along the first 150 miles of the Green River, would destroy <br />both density regulation (recruitment) and the buffering <br />source/Sink rescue effects. This, I argued, could cause the <br />extinction of the entire system. Through lack of data, I was <br />unable to speculate on vulnerabilities associated with the <br />juvenile stages. And, through both lack of data and lack of <br />understanding, I was unable to speculate on, vulnerability <br />associated with major flow modifications. <br />