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<br />[)oIrling et al. <br /> <br />lower than the minimum of 22.5% (mean 40.1%, maxi- <br />rpum 71.4%, n = 590 females) calculated from DNFH an- <br />nual reports for the seven preceding year classes (1982- <br />1989). Because fertilized ova from several individuals are <br />pooled, fertilization success and embryo viability from <br />specific females or matings cannot be determined. There- <br />fore, it is possible that some individuals or matings con- <br />tribute little or nothing, whereas others contribute pro- <br />portionately large numbers of progeny to a given year <br />class. This becomes especially important when few fe- <br />males are involved. The observed results must at a mini- <br />mum involve an interaction between the number of fe- <br />males and the viability of their offspring. <br />Whatever the cause, the number of females contribut- <br />ing progeny varies among year classes. Given that we <br />have measures of heterozygosity for the broodstock (Ho' <br />as reflected in our sample from Lake Mohave) and each <br />hatchery year class (H2), a rough approximation of the <br />effective number of females (Nfe) contributing to each <br />year class can be obtained using the following equation: <br /> <br />....!.... = 1-~2' <br />NE If <br />Je 0 <br />Application of this equation to each year class provided <br />Nfcs of 23.8, 32.2, and 6.9 for the 1987, 1989, and 1990 <br />year classes, respectively. Values for the 1987 and 1990 <br />year classes were appreciably smaller than the actual <br />number used to generate these samples (fable 2). <br /> <br />Genealogical History and Genetic Diversity <br /> <br />The relationship between intrinsic and extrinsic factors <br />. is confounded further by variation in broodstock com- <br />position over time. A genealogical history of razorback <br />suckers at DNFH was reconstituted from Inslee (1982), <br />Minckley (1983), Minckley et al. (1991), and DNFH an- <br />nual reports (USFWS 1981-1991). We provide here only <br />information pertinent to the year classes examined. <br />There were problems with record keeping. Unmarked <br />wild (Lake Mohave) broodfish from different years and <br />some hatchery fish unidentified as to age and origin <br />were mixed. Numbers and identity of fish spawned may <br />have been known at the time but were not always docu- <br />mented. Contributions of individuals to production <br />were sometimes unrecorded, and the number of ova per <br />female could have varied over six orders of magnitude. <br />Therefore, the number of fish that physically spawned <br />was not always the same as the number of fish from <br />which ova were obtained. Records were generally only <br />for numbers of females used, and the number of males <br />was not typically recorded. <br />The 1987 hatchery year class was produced by 55 <br />adult females (in part, Table 2), themselves FI progeny <br />of wild broodfish captured in 1981 (number unknown <br />but thought to be a few) and 1982 (thought to be many) <br /> <br />'---,. <br /> <br />II" <br /> <br />mtDNA Diversity in Razorback Sucker <br /> <br />125 <br /> <br />that were spawned in 1981 and/or 1982. Fish produced <br />in 1989 were derived from the same groups, but wild <br />fish captured as larvae in 1985 and reared in captivity <br />may also have contributed. Haplotype diversity and <br />number of alleles was high in both 1987 and 1989 year <br />classes (fable 2). <br />The specific origin of the 1990 year class cannot be as- <br />certained. Available broodstock included Fls from 1981 <br />and 1982 (likely more than 50%), wild fish captured in <br />1985 (likely less than 20%), and F2s from the 1987 year <br />class (known to be =33.5% of the broodstock at that <br />time). Haplotype diversity, number of alleles, and survi- <br />vorship of the 1990 year class were considerably lower <br />than for other year classes (fable 2). Given that specific <br />origins of individuals used to produce the 1990 year <br />class are not identifiable, it is possible that F2s were in- <br />terbred with close relatives (parents, siblings, etc.), re- <br />ducing genetic variability and perhaps the viability of re- <br />sulting progeny. <br /> <br />Summary and Conclusions <br /> <br />Decline of the razorback sucker is a function of recruit- <br />ment failure throughout its range. No verified natural re- <br />cruits have been found among almost 12,500 fish han- <br />dled in Lake Mohave, Arizona-Nevada, since 1974 (Marsh <br />1994). Large numbers of young hatch each year but <br />soon fall to predation, perhaps mediated by nutritional <br />constraints soon after yolk absorption. Existing adults all <br />hatched in the early 1950s, coincident with impound- <br />ment and prior to prevalence of nonnative predators. <br />Based on timing of disappearance of other reservoir <br />stocks in the lower Colorado basin (approximately 40 <br />years after impoundment; Minckley 1983), the Lake Mo- <br />have population should collapse at any time. <br />Mitochondrial DNA diversity in the razorback sucker <br />of Lake Mohave is remarkably high, with an average of <br />0.68 haplotypes per invidual. The population must there- <br />fore be comprised of direct descendants of an exceed- <br />ingly large, diverse, panmictic population that inhabited <br />the lower Colorado River basin before development. <br />Only natural recruitment can maintain existing genetic <br />variability. A population crash will result in significant <br />loss of diversity, and the possibility seems remote of <br />solving the recruitment problem before the remaining <br />population collapses. Our efforts can augment the num- <br />bers of individuals but can only maintain some portion <br />of the existing genetic variability. Unfortunately, the <br />level of potential conservation of genetic variability is in- <br />verse to the numbers of fish that can reasonably be pro- <br />duced. Large numbers of razorbacks may be hatchery- <br />cultured, but a limited number of individuals can be <br />used as brood stock. <br />In an attempt to overcome recruitment failure, two ad- <br />ditional programs have been initiated. One involves re- <br /> <br />Conservation Biology <br />Volume JO, No.1, February 1996 <br /> <br />--- <br />