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<br />244 <br /> <br />MICHAEL E. DOUGLAS ET AL. <br /> <br />evolution of biogeographic distributions (shallow history is <br />defined as the most recent glacial/interglacial period, 85,000 <br />years ago to present). In this sense, we concur with Riddle <br />(1996), who advocated caution in accepting hypotheses of <br />Pleistocene diversification without first critically testing al- <br />ternative, temporally deeper models. The fact that we ac- <br />commodate both types of models (among others) in our an- <br />alyses is also noteworthy. Finally, our results statistically <br />support, rather than simply propose, vicariance as a primary <br />factor in phenotypic evolution of one group of western Amer- <br />ican freshwater fishes. In many ways, the last is most im- <br />portant because it speaks of process, which merits further <br />examination. <br />We know that from Miocene to Recent times aquatic hab- <br />itats in the American West suffered numerous and extensive <br />disruptions from episodic orogeny and progressive aridity <br />(Armentrout et al. 1979; Axelrod 1979). Some lakes, springs, <br />and rivers disappeared. Others remained isolated in inter- <br />montane basins or dwindled to disjunct segments separated <br />from others by dry channels. Only a few continued to flow <br />from the mountains through lowlands to the sea. Over time, <br />drainage divides eroded, basins filled with alluvium, and old <br />channels were reintegrated piecemeal to form new and com- <br />plex watersheds. Today, many western American rivers exist <br />not as units intact since their inception, but as composites of <br />more than one original system (Minckley et al. 1986). <br />Fishes must have persisted within the drainage fragments <br />almost as an addendum to hydrologic chaos. As intercon- <br />nections developed, fishes were either passively transferred <br />from one system to another or provided opportunity to ac- <br />tively disperse into new systems. As a result, fishes of the <br />American West frequently exhibit confusing patterns of di- <br />versity when analyzed at the morphological level. As shown <br />here, these patterns are difficult or impossible to interpret <br />without know ledge of the past because they often run counter <br />to conventional logic. Yet, to infer past process from existing <br />pattern requires an ability to simultaneously erect and test <br />multiple hypotheses, each of which offers an interpretation <br />of the pattern but from a different perspective. <br />In this study, the vicariance hypothesis is the only model <br />statistically proficient in explaining diversity of fish pheno- <br />types in the Gila River Basin (Table 1). Further, of paleo- <br />hydrographic reconstructions available, those of the mid- <br />Miocene and Pliocene epochs are associated significantly <br />with present-day geographic distributions of phenotypes (Ta- <br />ble 2), and of these the Pliocene is paramount. Simply stated, <br />Pliocene hydrography statistically explains the existing pat- <br />tern of phenotypic diversity in three forms of the minnow <br />genus Gila. <br /> <br />ACKNOWLEDGMENTS <br /> <br />This work could not have been done without the extensive <br />research of J. Dale Nations and his colleagues (Nations et al. <br />1982 and references therein), who provided a spatial and <br />temporal geologic backdrop for our endeavors. R. R. Miller, <br />University of Michigan Museum of Zoology, graciously pro- <br />vided access to specimens, field notes (including those of C. <br />L. Hubbs), and personal research notes on the genus Gila. <br />We thank the individuals involved in the review process for <br /> <br />helping resolve organizational and textual problems. This <br />study was supported by several organizations, agencies, and <br />individuals over many years, and especially benefited from <br />those who discussed with us substantial differences of opin- <br />ion with our conclusions. We thank them all and hope this <br />contribution will stimulate further research and debate on this <br />remarkable group of minnows. <br /> <br />LITERATURE CITED <br /> <br />ANDERSON, E. 1949. Introgressive Hybridization. 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