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<br />But these two projects are many years away from completion and using their total depletion <br />allocations. Therefore, it has been assumed that there is "flexibility" in increasing the minimum <br />release from Navajo Dam of 250 cfs as defined in the Preferred Alternative to some higher <br />value. This report will summarize the analysis made to verify that flexibility may exist during <br />non-drought years and during an interim period of time before full development occurs. <br /> <br />Method.- The San Juan River Basin Hydrology Model, using the RiverWare software, <br />was the tool used to evaluate alternatives for the EIS.1 The model configuration of the Preferred <br />Alternative was modified to show reduced depletions for NIIP and ALP that would represent <br />development for these two projects about 10 years in the future from current uses. Table 1, <br />"NIIP development schedule reflecting the acreage farmed or projected to be farmed in each <br />year through full development," from pages 8 and 9 of the Navajo Indian Irrigation Project <br />Biological Assessment - June 11, 1999, was used to estimate project completion for NIIP. It was <br />assumed that SJWC and the ALPWCD would be using their entire allocation, while the two <br />Ute Tribes would not be using any water. <br /> <br />NIIP's average annual usage 10 years in the future was estimated to be 288,504 af of diversions <br />to support 230,803 af of depletions on 94,570 acres. From table 1, this would occur in the year <br />2007. Current use is projected to be 204,000 af, which occurred in the year 1999 from table 1. <br />Since they do not appear to be on schedule, it was assumed that only 8 years of development <br />could be completed in the next 10 years, so 2007 from table 1 should represent water use <br />10 years from now. <br /> <br />ALP would be delivering 5,200 af to ALPWCD in Colorado, 20,800 af to SJWC in New Mexico <br />and 4,680 af to the Navajo Nation in Shiprock, for a total diversion amount of 30,680 af per year. <br />All other ALP uses were set to zero. <br /> <br />Total reduction in annual diversions are: NIIP: 337,500 - 288,504 = 48,996 af plus <br />ALP: 109;749 - 30,680 = 79,069 af; total = 48,996 + 79,069 = 128,065 af. <br /> <br />These new adjustments to San Juan River Basin demands and depletions were read into the <br />model and the minimum release from Navajo Reservoir was increased from 250 cfs to 350 cis <br />for the months of May-october. November-April remains at 250 cis. <br /> <br />Results.- The model was run and the water supply was checked for shortages. None <br />were found. Flow Recommendations were evaluated through the post-processing analysis and <br />no violations of those recommendations occurred. <br /> <br />1 Use of the model in the work of the SJRBRIP does not necessarily constitute agreement or approval by <br />individual program participants with the model data, methodologies, or assumptions. Use of the model does not <br />change the responsibilities of the respective States to maintain records of water rights and water use. Official records <br />of water rights and water use are maintained by the State agencies statutorily charged with that responsibility. <br /> <br />B-2 <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I. <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />