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<br />t <br /> <br />performed by computing the ratio, (mean square <br />for streams)/(mean square for slides), in this <br />151.065 <br />case, 29.055 = 5.20. <br />When the calculated F value (5.20) is com- <br />paTed with the F values in the table (tabular F <br />values) where df = 2 for the numerator and df = <br />8 for the denominator, we find that the calcu- <br />lated F exceeds the value of the tabular F for <br />probability .05. Thus, the experiment indicates a <br />high probability (greater than 0.95) of there <br />being a difference in biomass attached to the <br />slides, a difference attributable to differences in <br />streams. <br />Note that this analysis presumes good biologi- <br />cal procedure and obviously cannot discriminate <br />differences in streams from differences arising, <br />for example, from the slides having been placed <br />in a riffle in one stream and a pool in the next. <br />In general, the form of any analysis of variance <br />derives from a model describing an observation <br />in the experiment. In the example, the model, <br />although not stated explicitly, assumed only two <br />factors affecting a biomass measurement - <br />streams and slides within streams. If the model <br />had included other factors, a more complicated <br />analysis of variance would have resulted. <br />5.4.2 Factorial design <br />Another application of a simple analysis of <br />variance may be made where the factors are <br />arranged factorially. Suppose a field study where <br />the effect of a suspected toxic effluent upon the <br />fish fauna of a river was in question (Tables 9 <br />and 10). Five samples were taken about one- <br />quarter mile upstream and five, one-quarter mile <br />downstream in August of the summer before the <br />plant began operation, and the sampling scheme <br />was repeated in August of the summer after <br />operations began. <br />Standard statistical terminology refers to each <br />of the combinations PITI, PzTI' PiTZ' and <br />Pz T z as treatments or treatment combinations. <br />Of use in the analysis is a table of treatment <br />totals. <br />In planning for this field study, a null and <br />alternate hypothesis should have been formed. <br />In fact, whether stated explicitly or not, the null <br />hypothesis was: <br />Ho: The toxic effluent has no effect upon <br />the weight of fish caught <br /> <br />t <br /> <br />t <br /> <br />BIOMETRICS - ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE <br /> <br />This hypothesis is not stated in statistical terms <br />and, therefore, only implicitly tells us what test <br />to make. Let us look further at the analysis <br />before attempting to state a null hypothesis in <br />statistical terms. <br />In this study two factors are identifiable: <br />times and positions. A study could have been <br />done on each of the two factors separately, i.e., <br />an attempt could have been made to distinguish <br />whether there was a difference associated with <br />times, assuming all other factors insignificant, <br />and likewise with the positions. The example, <br />used here, however, includes both factors <br />simultaneously. Data are given for times and for <br />positions but with the complication that we <br />cannot assume that one is insignificant when <br />studying the other. For the purpose of this <br />study, whether there is a significant difference <br />with times or on the other hand with positions, <br />are questions that are of little interest. Of <br />interest to this study is whether the upstream- <br />downstream difference varies with times. This <br />type of contrast is termed a positions-times inter- <br />action. Thus, our null hypothesis is, in statistical <br /> <br />TABLE 9. POUNDS OF FISH CAUGHT <br />PER 10 HOURS OVERNIGHT SET OF A <br />125-FOOT, 1 Yz-INCH-MESH GILL NET <br /> <br />Times <br /> <br />Po sitiolls <br />Downstream (Pz) <br />29.0 <br />28.9 <br />20.3 <br />36.5 <br />29.4 <br />19.2 <br />22.8 <br />24.4 <br />16.7 <br />11.3 <br /> <br />Before <br />(Tt) <br /> <br />Upstream (Pt) <br />28.3 <br />33.7 <br />38.2 <br />41.1 <br />17.6 <br />15.9 <br />29.5 <br />22.1 <br />37.6 <br />26.7 <br /> <br />After <br />(T2) <br /> <br />TABLE 10. TREATMENT TOTALS FOR <br />THE DATA OF TABLE 9 <br /> <br />Total <br /> <br />Positions <br />Upstream Downstream <br />158.9 144.1 <br />131.8 94.4 <br /> <br />303.0 <br />226.2 <br />Grand total <br />529.2 <br /> <br />Times totals <br /> <br />Before <br />After <br /> <br />Positions <br />to tals <br /> <br />290.7 <br /> <br />238.5 <br /> <br />17 <br />