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<br />BIOLOGICAL METHODS <br /> <br />istic of interest. Stratification is often done on <br />other bases such as convenience or administra- <br />tive imperative, but except where these cor- <br />respond with criteria which minimize the <br />variation within strata, no gain in precision may <br />be expected. <br /> <br />Number of Strata <br /> <br />In aquatic biological field studies, the use of <br />knowledge of biological cause-and-effect may <br />help define reasonable strata (e.g., thermoclines, <br />sediment types, etc., may markedly affect the <br />organisms so that the environmental feature may <br />be the obvious choice for the strata divisions). <br />Where a gradient is suspected and where stratifi- <br />cation is based on a factor correlated to an <br />unknown degree with the characteristic of <br />interest, the answer to the question of how <br />many strata to form and where to locate their <br />boundaries is not clear. Usually as many strata <br />are selected as may be handled in the study. In <br />practice, gains in efficiency due to stratification <br />usually become negligible after only a few divi- <br />sions unless the characteristic used as the basis <br />of stratification is very highly correlated with <br />the characteristic of interest. <br /> <br />2.1.3 Systematic random sampling <br />In field studies, the biologist frequently <br />wishes to use some sort of transect, perhaps to <br />be assured of including an adequate cross section <br />while maintaining relative ease of sampling. The <br />use of transects is an example of systematic <br />sampling. However, a random starting point is <br />chosen along the transect to introduce the <br />randomness needed to guarantee freedom from <br />bias and allow statistical inference. <br />The method of placement of the transect <br />should be given a great deal of thought. Often <br />transects are set up arbitrarily, but they should <br />not be. To avoid arbitrariness, randomization <br />should be employed in transect placement. <br /> <br />2.2 Sample Size <br /> <br />2.2.1 Simple random sampling <br /> <br />In any study, one important early question is <br />that of the size of the sample. The question is <br />important because if, on the one hand, a sample <br />is too large, the effort is wasteful, and if, on the <br /> <br />other hand, a sample is too small, the question <br />of importance to the study may not be properly <br />answered. <br /> <br />t <br /> <br />Case 1 - Estimation of a Binomial Proportion <br /> <br />An estimate of the proportion of occurrence <br />of the two categories must be available. If the <br />categories are presence and absence, let the <br />probability of observing a presence be P (0 < P <br />< I) and the probability of observing an absence <br />be Q (0 < Q < I, P + Q = I). The second type of <br />information which is needed is an acceptable <br />magnitude of error, d, in estimating P (and <br />hence Q). With this information, together with <br />the size, n, of the population, the formula for n <br />as an initial approximation (no), is: <br /> <br />t2PQ <br />no=y <br /> <br />(1) <br /> <br />The value for t is obtained from tables of <br />"Student's t" distribution, but for the initial <br />computation the value 2 may be used to obtain <br />a sample size, no, that will ensure with a .95 <br />probability, that P is within d of its true value. If <br />no is less than 30, use a second calculation <br />where t is obtained from a table of "Student's t" <br />with no - I degrees of freedom. If the calculation <br /> <br />results in an no, where ~o < .05, no further <br /> <br />calculation is warran ted. Use no as the sample <br /> <br />size. If ~ > .05, make the following computa- <br /> <br />tion: <br /> <br />t <br /> <br />n = no <br />1 + no-l <br />N <br /> <br />(2) <br /> <br />Case 2 - Estimation of a Population Mean for <br />Measurement Data <br /> <br />In this case an estimate of the variance, S2, <br />must be obtained from some source, and a state- <br />ment of the margin of error, d, must be ex- <br />pressed in the same units as are the sample <br />observations. To calculate an initial sample size: <br />t2 s2 <br />no =7 (3) <br /> <br />4 <br /> <br />t <br />