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GOLDEN LION TAMARINS <br />s00 <br />W <br />N <br />500 <br />Z <br />0 <br />i= 400 <br />300 <br />0 <br />a. <br />200 <br />i=- <br />CL <br />Q 100 <br />U <br />0 <br />........................................... y..'..,.. <br />FROM THE WILD <br />REINTRODUCED <br />1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 <br />40 <br />30 w <br />w <br />20 2 <br />10 Z <br />0 <br />YEAR <br />Figure 2. The historical development of four captive breeding and reintroduction programs: A) golden <br />lion tamarins; B) Guam rails; C) black-footed ferrets; D) California condors. The dotted line indicates <br />the target size for each captive population. <br />1989, Derrickson 1991). Some programs may adopt the "90 percent for 200 years" <br />goal initially and change to a less demanding one, e.g., "90 percent for 100 years" <br />if the size and viability of the wild population(s) improve to the point where the <br />captive population is less critical for preserving the genetic variation of the species. <br />This approach has been considered by the tamarin management committee. <br />Setting a specific goal enables estimates, based on population genetics theory, of <br />the number of wild animals that must be captured and induced to breed in captivity <br />(the number of "founders" needed for the captive population) and the target pop- <br />ulation size (the number of individuals that must be maintained in captivity during <br />the planning period) needed to meet the goal (Soule et al. 1986). Planning to retain <br />a higher percentage of genetic variation increases the necessary target size. For <br />example, maintaining 92 percent, instead of 90 percent, of the ferret genetic variation <br />for 50 years would require a target population of 2,700 rather than 500 individuals. <br />Managing Genetic Diversity ? 269