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impact population recruitment (Houde 1987; Bestgen et al. 1997). Winter mortality is often size- <br />selective, but the magnitude of size selectivity varies from year to year. To survive, young-of-year fishes <br />must reach a threshold size by late fall of their first growing season, because overwinter mortality <br />generally removes smaller individuals with low energy reserves (Oliver et al. 1979, Toneys and Coble <br />1979; Shuter et al. 1980; Post and Evans 1989; Schindler 1999). For larval and juvenile fishes, reaching <br />this threshold size confers a host of advantages during a time when mortality is typically high, including <br />lower probability of starvation due to higher prey capture rates, and decreased vulnerability to predators <br />due to improved swimming ability (Garvey et al. 1998). <br />Although young-of-year fish may reach the threshold size, other environmental factors, such as <br />ice formation, ice jams, cold water temperatures, and winter flow fluctuations, may impose additional <br />threats to overwinter survival. Winter flows in the middle Green River are influenced by releases from <br />Flaming Gorge Dam. It has been hypothesized that winter operations of Flaming Gorge Dam reduces <br />survival of age-0 Colorado pikeminnow because fluctuating discharge and associated changes in water <br />surface elevation modify the characteristics of nursery habitats which causes an increase in fish activity <br />(Carlson and Muth 1989; U. S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1992; Haines et al. 1998; Valdez and Cowdell <br />1999). Yet, a study by Hayse et al. (2000) found that adverse winter conditions in backwater habitats <br />including ice formation, ice jams, and flow-through conditions were likely more a function of local <br />upstream conditions than winter flow fluctuations initiated at Flaming Gorge Dam. However, higher <br />stage elevations produced by ice jams may inundate nursery backwater habitats and transform them into <br />unsuitable flow-through areas. In addition, as flows decline, fish must search for suitable habitats to <br />avoid being stranded. Winter flows may dismantle ice cover which acts as an insulator, allow the creation <br />of frazil ice, and may result in ice jams that increase river stage and inundate backwaters (Valdez and <br />Cowdell 1999). Each of these stressors may impact overwinter survival of young Colorado pikeminnow <br />by causing fish to redistribute to more suitable habitats at a time that is very costly energetically. <br />iii