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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />analysis of scarred trees, and historical photographs <br />provided a control on dating the ages of events. <br />Evidence for all events, however, has not necessarily <br />been preserved in the tributaries. We therefore <br />estimated the minimum frequency of debris flows. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Simplified hydraulic formulas were used to calculate <br />flow velocities and discharges for debris flows <br />(Pierson 1985). We calculated velocities from runup <br />evidence of the velocity head, which is preserved in <br />sites where an obstacle is oriented perpendicular to <br />the flow direction. Superelevation evidence, which is <br />found where the flow surface is elevated on the outside <br />of bends due to centrifugal forces, was also used to <br />calculate velocities. The methods provide a conserva- <br />tive estimate of the actual velocity of debris flows <br />(Pierson 1985). Discharge was calculated as the <br />product of velocity and cross-sectional area. Project <br />personnel collected 5- to 10-pound samples of debris- <br />flow matrix in order to reconstitute the water content <br />of the debris flow using methods described in Cooley et <br />ale (1977) and Pierson (1985). Uncertainty in the <br />reconstituted water content by volume for each sample <br />was 1-2 percent. Particle-size distributions were <br />obtained by combining sieve data with point-count data <br />obtained in the field. The two methods yield <br />numerically equivalent particle-size distributions <br />(Kellerhals and Bray 1971). <br /> <br />DEBRIS FLOWS IN THREE TRIBUTARIES <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Evidence for at least five prehistoric and three <br />historic debris flows is preserved in the Lava-Chuar <br />Creek drainage. Of the historic debris flows, one <br />occurred between 1916 and 1966, another in December <br />1966, and the last between 1973 and 1984. Debris flows <br />have reached the Colorado River on an average of every <br />200 years during the last 1,500 years and every 20-30 <br />years since 1916. Debris flows may reach the Colorado <br />River more frequently now because some prehistoric <br />debris flows may not have overtopped the terraces to <br />leave depositional evidence. <br /> <br />The debris flow of 1966 in the Lava-Chuar Creek <br />drainage began as slope failures in the Permian Hermit <br />Shale and Permian and Pennsylvanian Supai Group and <br />traveled 6.5 miles downstream to the Colorado River. It <br />had a velocity of 12 ftjs and a discharge of about <br />4,000 cubic feet per second (cfs) near the Colorado <br />River. The average water content of the flow was <br />estimated to be 22.5 percent: hence, the peak sediment <br /> <br />13 <br />