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<br />III. FUTURE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT AND RELATED WATER SUPPLIES <br /> <br />The demand for energy production in the Upper Colorado River Basin is a <br />national demand; it is anticipated that 80 percent or more of the energy <br />produced in this Basin will be exported to other regions of the United <br />States. Consequently, extensive activities are underway to develop the <br />Upper Basin's relatively untapped fossil-type energy resources. To <br />appraise the magnitude, timing, and probability of over 30 large scale <br />energy developments, three categories have been designated: In-Pro~ress, <br />those now being designed or constructed; Planned, plants for whiCh leases, <br />water supplies, and other specific requirements are actively being sought; <br />and Projected, primarily expansion of plants in the prior two categories <br />or recognized potential for which no specific development is known but for <br />which a year 2000 demand has been delineated in past studies such as the <br />Southwest Energy Study or for oil and gas demands resulting from the current <br />energy crisis. <br /> <br />It is recognized that several studies and projections of electrical power <br />demand in the southwestern United States have been made that indicate the <br />potential electrical power demand by year 2000 could utilize much greater <br />production in the Upper Colorado River Basin. It is assumed, however, <br />that most of the additional production would be derived from nuclear plants <br />located close to the load centers outside the Upper Basin. <br /> <br />The energy developments, categorized by status are shown on Figure 2. In <br />New Mexico and Colorado a definite clustering effect occurs due to location <br />of energy fuels. In Colorado a pronounced concentration of coal-fired <br />electric generation occurs in the Yampa Valley whereas, oil shale operations <br />cluster in the lower White and Colorado between Glenwood Springs and Grand <br />Junction. <br /> <br />Translation of energy production into water needs is dependent on specific <br />site locations, processes used, cooling methods and other parameters. <br />However, to dimension the relative water for energy needs, the following <br />unit factors were assumed except where specific plans and water contracts <br />are already firm. <br /> <br />Coal fired electric generating plant - 15 af/yr/Mw at 85% plant factor <br /> <br />Oil Shale - 17,400 af/yr for 100,000 bbl/day plant <br />Coal gasification plants - 15,000 af/yr for a 250 M cu.ft/day plant <br /> <br />These factors include the estimated related municipal requirements to <br />support the development. <br /> <br />Table 11 lists the energy developments by type, i.e., fossil fire thermal <br />electric plants, oil shale plants and coal gasification plants, and includes <br />information on status, size, and projected water requirements. Plans for <br />additional plants may exist, but are so tenuous as to make the results of <br />their inclusion unreliable. <br /> <br />Table 12 lists the same information as presented in Table 11; however, the <br />energy developments are listed by states rather than by plant types. <br /> <br />38 <br />