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hatchery fish as fry (0.5, 1.0, and 3 million) or smolts <br />(300,000 and 700,000). Scenarios were run at two <br />initial native spawner escapements (250 and 2,500), <br />three fry fitness levels for the progeny of hatchery <br />parents (0.333, 0.667, and 1.0), and two mating <br />overlap rates (zero and 20%)--a total of 36 <br />fry-stocking and 24 smolt-stocking simulations. <br />Abundance of Native Fish Declines in all <br />Stocking Scenarios <br />Although the total smolt yield was increased with <br />stocking, the abundance of native smolts and adults <br />was less than the no-stock option during generations <br />1-15. When native and hatchery adults interbred, <br />the downward trend in native smolt and adult <br />abundance was accelerated and the native fish were <br />often a minority of the total natural smolt yield and <br />adult return. As the mating overlap rate, fitness of <br />progeny with a hatchery ancestry, and the number of <br />planted hatchery fish increased, so did the <br />percentage of naturally produced fish that had a <br />hatchery lineage, and the danger of the native class <br />becoming extinct increased. The abundance of native <br />adults exceeded 200 fish in generation 15 in only 5 of <br />the 18 fry-stocking and 4 of the 12 smolt-stocking <br />scenarios with a 20% mating overlap rate. In the <br />scenarios where mating overlap was zero, a viable <br />native population was maintained only when <br />hatchery supplementation was less than 3 million fry <br />or 700,000 smolts. <br />Model can be Useful to Evaluate <br />Supplementation Programs <br />A life history model, such as the one we used, gives <br />managers a tool to assess the potential effects of <br />proposed hatchery stocking programs. The risks to <br />the native population can be defined and evaluated <br />with respect to the goals of the supplementation <br />program. In most scenarios, supplementation of <br />native stocks with hatchery fish caused replacement, <br />not enhancement, of native fish. Results of these <br />scenarios suggest that well-intentioned management <br />strategies to increase steelhead abundance may have <br />a devastating effect on the locally adapted native <br />stock. The long-term interaction of hatchery and <br />native fish in natural stream conditions needs to be <br />addressed. <br />For further information, contact: <br />Alan Byrne <br />National Fisheries Research Center <br />Bldg. 204, Naval Station Puget Sound <br />Seattle, WA 98115-5007 <br />FTS 392-6282 or Comm. (206) 526-6282 <br />or <br />Ted C. Bjorn <br />ID Cooperative Fish and Wildlife <br />Research Unit <br />University of Idaho <br />Moscow, Idaho 83843 <br />Comm. (208) 885-6336