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Daily streamflow records for the Lily and Maybell stations were retrieved from <br />the USGS WATSTOR database, and a program (Addailyq) written to add the daily <br />flow values together, creating a synthetic record at Deerlodge Park for water <br />years 1941 - 1986. This streamflow record was deemed as the 'historic' record <br />at Deerlodge Park for the Yampa River. <br />The 1941-1986 water year period was utilized instead of the entire record <br />because previous years had periods of missing data, or estimated flows for <br />entire months. Elliott (1984) examined 10-year increments of flow data at the <br />Lily and Maybell stations and observed that the 1920's had fewer low flow days <br />while the 1930's had greater occurrences of low flows, as compared to the <br />entire period. Streamflows since 1940 were relatively uniform and judged to <br />have had a greater effect upon present channel morphology than flows which <br />occurred earlier in the century. Elliott's report used the 1941-1983 flows, <br />this analysis includes the additional high flow years of 1984-1986. <br />The annual flows for the 1941-1986 water years are shown in Figure 1, along <br />with dashed lines depicting low, average and high water years. Only annual <br />flows were analyzed, variations within individual months and snowmelt runoff <br />periods were not classified, nor deemed necessary for this study. The <br />classification of water years was based upon a log-Pearson Type III <br />distribution, with return periods of 1.25 years, 2 years, and 5 years for the <br />low, average, and high water years, respectively (Table 2). The calculated <br />annual flows are: <br />low water year below 1514 cfs annually <br />average water year 1514 - 2760 cfs annually <br />high water year above 2760 cfs annually <br />An annual flow with a 1.25 year return period has an <br />80% (1/1.25), in other words, there is an 80% chance <br />equalling or exceededing 1514 cfs in any given year. <br />return period means there is 20% chance of an annual <br />exceeding 2760 cfs in any given year. Thus, there i <br />low or high annual flow occurring in any given year, <br />average year occurring. <br />exceedence probability of <br />of an annual flow <br />Similarly, a 5 year <br />flow equalling or <br />s a 20% chance of either a <br />and an 60% chance of an <br />The same analysis was preformed using-the 1921-1986 period of record (sum of <br />Lily and Maybell stations), with the low, average, and high annual flows <br />determined as 1532 cfs, 2144 cfs, and 2754 cfs, respectively. Only water year <br />1953 (1517 cfs) changed in classification, from an average to a low water year, <br />as a result of using the entire record available. Thus, as far as classifying <br />wet and dry annual flow years, the 1941-1986 period is adequate.