8197

• UCREFRP Catalog Number: 8197
• Author: Martinez, P. J.
• Title: Development and Application of Procedures for Stocking Nonnative Fish Speacies in the Upper Colorado River Basin.
• USFW Year: 1997.
• USFW - Doc Type: Grand Junction, CO.
• Copyright Material: NO

13380 Federal Register / 59, No. 54 / Monday, March 21. 1994 / Rules and Regulations
Vol.
"with lish" scenario was constructed by
analyzing potential changes in
economic activity that may occur due to
the critical habitat designations and/or
other protection and recovery efforts for
endangered fish.
Economic Setting
Economic Output
Economic output measures the value
of all goods and services produced and/
or consumed in a regional economy.
The seven State Basin region generates
about $1.3 trillion annually in economic
output. This output is dominated by the
combined manufacturing and the
finance, insurance. and real estate
sectors, which produce .18.4 percent and
14.9 percent of total output.
respectively. The recreation services
sector produces 7.7 percent of the total
output and the combined agricultural
sectors are responsible for 3.0 percent of
the total output (Brookshire at al 1993).
Employment
Approximately 22.0 million people
are employed in the Basin economy.
The largest employment sectors within
the Basin States are the public sector
(16.9 percent of total employment), and
the combined manufacturing sector
(15.4 percent of total employment). The
recreation services sector is also a very
significant part of total employment at
10.5 percent. Combined agricultural
employment is approximately 4.3
percent of total employment (Brookshire
at al. 1993).
State and Regional Economic Impacts
Three conclusions were obtained from
the economic analysis (Table 1): First,
regional economic impacts associated
with critical habitat designation are
positive for the Basin. Second, the State-
level impacts are not distributed evenly
over States in the Basin. Finally, the
percent deviation in the economy from
the "without fish" scenario is small.

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TABLE 1.--ANNUALQED IMPACTS ($1991 MIWONS) OF CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION IN EACH STATE AND THE COLD-
RADO RIVER BASIN. PARENTHESES () = PERCENT CHANGE IN THE STATE AND REGIONAL ECONOMIES DUE TO DES-
IGNATION. (AFTER BROOKSHIRE ET AL 1994)

Earning Indirect busi- Personw in-
corne
state ?) hange)
(% c ness taxes
change) taxes
change)
Arizona -1.049 -0201 -0.048 -0-M
(.0008) (.N) (AM (.OOD4)
California - +16.751 +2.880 +0521 +0.720
(.0013) (.0007) 0008) (-0007)
Colorado.. -0848 +0.850 -0.111- +0213
0006) (.0020) (W (-M)
Nevada +7
014 +3
369 +0582 +0842
.
(.0148) .
(.0164) (.0182) (.0164)
New Mexico -12273 -1.511 -0586 -Mm
(.0279) (.0110) (MM) (.0110)
Utah -3828 718
-0 -0281 -0
180
(.0060) .
(.0039) (JO090) .
(M0)
Wyoming -0.3% -0.048 -00¢3 -0.012
(.0020) (.0008) 0020) (.0008)
Basin +6
470 +3
704 +0
136 +1
049
.
(.0003) .
(.0006) .
(.0002) .
.
(.0006)
The projected impacts on the
economies of various States ranged from
about -$12.273 million in New Mexico
to about +$16.751 million in California
measured as annualized values (Table
1). However, projected negative impacts
that couldmcur in the various State
economies. were so small when
compared to the base economies that
they are probably nonexistent, ranging
from 0.0008 percent in Arizona to
0.0279 percent in New Mexico. Some
States could experience small but
positive impacts (e.g., California and
Nevada).
Impacts on earnings, indirect business
taxes, and personal income taxes are
organized in the same way as those for
output (Table 1). The conclusions
expressed for output hold also for the
earnings. indirect business taxes, and
personal income taxes impacts
(Brookshire at al. 1994).
Employment
Table 2 presents State and regional
incremental impacts on employment
over the 25-year period of the study.
The values in the table represent the
deviation in employment, measured as
jobs, between the without fish and with
fish scenarios. As with other aspects of
the economy, employment impacts are
both positive and negative both across
States and over time. For New Mexico,
the employment impact is
approximately 2 jobs foregone in 1995
and this figure rises to 613 jobs foregone
by the year 2020. On the other hand, for
California there is a gain of
approximately 20 jobs in 1995 and this
positive impact increases to a projected
1.162 jobs by 2020. For the Basin as a
whole, the employment impacts are
positive through the study period. In
1995, the projected gain is
approximately 60 jobs. By 2020, the
gains in employment are projected to be
approximately 393 jobs.
TABLE 2.- IMPACTS OF THE CRITICAL HABITAT DESIGNATION ON EMPLOYMENT IN EACH STATE AND THE COLORADO
RIVER BASIN. EMPLOYMENT IMPACTS REPRESENT JOBS FOREGONE OR GAINED IN THE FUTURE THROUGH THE YEAR
2020. (AFTER BROOKSHIRE ET AL 1994)
State 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Arizona .......
California -1.85
+19.99 -4.68
+92.57 - 7.77
+258.48 -12DB
+475.86 -18.86
+781.18 -25.83
+1161.93

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